CIN
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.75×
Wind 3 mph cross
64°F
open
-3
6 mph · slight_out
77°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · out
73°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
3 mph · out
71°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
3 mph · out
71°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
2 mph · out
71°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.75
64°F, wind 3 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.254 | 90.6 | 9.2% | 22.2% vs LHP | 392 | 17.6% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 51 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🔥 HOT | 73 | 0.195 | 91.3 | 8.6% | 29.4% vs LHP | 410 | 13.5% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.175 | 89.6 | 6.5% | 20.0% vs LHP | 378 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 35 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.110 | 89.5 | 7.5% | 15.4% vs LHP | 414 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 24 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 214 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 4.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 403 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Mangum | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.057 | 83.4 | 2.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 410 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 36 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Steer | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.201 | 89.5 | 9.1% | 17.8% vs RHP | 394 | 13.5% | 30.0% | 17.9% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 47 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.231 | 94.2 | 9.5% | 19.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.5% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 5 |
| 3 |
|
Jj Bleday | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.280 | 89.8 | 8.1% | 32.3% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.216 | 88.8 | 8.4% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Sal Stewart | 42 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 121 | 0.196 | 90.8 | 9.4% | 18.4% vs RHP | 395 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 165 | 0.141 | 90.7 | 8.1% | 16.2% vs RHP | 384 | 7.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 188 | 0.154 | 88.8 | 7.8% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 29 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 195 | 0.153 | 87.1 | 6.9% | 23.8% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 23 |