2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
CIN
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.75× Wind 3 mph cross 64°F open
-3
6 mph · slight_out
77°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · out
73°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
3 mph · out
71°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
3 mph · out
71°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
2 mph · out
71°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.75

64°F, wind 3 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott LHP
1.34 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.22 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 60 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 40 0.254 90.6 9.2% 22.2% vs LHP 392 17.6% 25.0% 20.8% 37
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 51 🟠 C +525 🔥 HOT 73 0.195 91.3 8.6% 29.4% vs LHP 410 13.5% 25.0% 19.1% 35
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 42 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 122 0.175 89.6 6.5% 20.0% vs LHP 378 16.0% 8.3% 8.8% 40
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 35 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 161 0.110 89.5 7.5% 15.4% vs LHP 414 7.9% 16.7% 8.1% 7
5 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 24 ⚪ D +750 · 214 0.080 86.1 4.7% 0.0% vs LHP 403 4.2% 8.3% 5.0% 38
6 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 223 0.057 83.4 2.2% 0.0% vs LHP 410 2.7% 0.0% 5.0% 36
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.89 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 48 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 87 0.201 89.5 9.1% 17.8% vs RHP 394 13.5% 30.0% 17.9% 23
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 47 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 93 0.231 94.2 9.5% 19.4% vs RHP 394 15.5% 0.0% 14.3% 5
3 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 46 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 96 0.280 89.8 8.1% 32.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 20.8% 27
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 43 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 116 0.216 88.8 8.4% 32.1% vs RHP 398 15.6% 0.0% 12.2% 16
5 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 42 ⚪ D +575 · 121 0.196 90.8 9.4% 18.4% vs RHP 395 9.4% 8.3% 10.4% 33
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 34 ⚪ D +750 · 165 0.141 90.7 8.1% 16.2% vs RHP 384 7.9% 12.5% 9.8% 15
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 30 ⚪ D +850 🔥 HOT 188 0.154 88.8 7.8% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 16
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 29 ⚪ D +625 · 195 0.153 87.1 6.9% 23.8% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 23
🏟️
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