ATL
@
7:15p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 19 mph slight_out
56°F
open
+4
15 mph · slight_out
62°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
61°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
61°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
13 mph · slight_out
60°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
13 mph · slight_out
60°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 1.00
56°F, wind 19 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 — mild park boost, weather flat.
SF Bullpen Proxy
1.01 HR/9
· FIP-xFIP +0.00
·
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 27 | 0.218 | 92.2 | 17.8% | 30.4% | 407 | 20.7% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 28 | 0.270 | 92.7 | 13.5% | 21.2% | 409 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 131 | 0.155 | 91.2 | 10.4% | 11.8% | 409 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 180 | 0.163 | 87.2 | 4.1% | 10.9% | 383 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.140 | 87.7 | 7.2% | 10.2% | 390 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.145 | 90.6 | 3.6% | 12.0% | 374 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.148 | 86.3 | 5.6% | 9.9% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 42 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 71 | 0.226 | 89.4 | 9.0% | 22.0% vs RHP | 394 | 17.1% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.198 | 88.6 | 7.6% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 15.8% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.197 | 91.8 | 7.8% | 20.0% vs RHP | 402 | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.151 | 88.3 | 6.6% | 16.2% vs RHP | 398 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.148 | 87.8 | 4.3% | 10.0% vs RHP | 378 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.128 | 85.3 | 3.9% | 14.3% vs RHP | 393 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.122 | 87.2 | 1.4% | 2.9% vs RHP | 357 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 37 |