2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
ATL
@ 7:15p
SF
Oracle Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.83× Wind 19 mph slight_out 56°F open
+4
15 mph · slight_out
62°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
61°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
61°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
13 mph · slight_out
60°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
13 mph · slight_out
60°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 1.00

56°F, wind 19 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 — mild park boost, weather flat.

SF Bullpen Proxy
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 63 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 27 0.218 92.2 17.8% 30.4% 407 20.7% 0.0% 20.0% 13
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 63 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 28 0.270 92.7 13.5% 21.2% 409 21.5% 7.7% 13.1% 31
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 40 ⚪ D · · 131 0.155 91.2 10.4% 11.8% 409 7.7% 0.0% 7.3% 24
4 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.163 87.2 4.1% 10.9% 383 12.7% 7.7% 7.7% 40
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 181 0.140 87.7 7.2% 10.2% 390 8.1% 0.0% 6.4% 23
6 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 187 0.145 90.6 3.6% 12.0% 374 8.0% 10.0% 11.6% 12
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.148 86.3 5.6% 9.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 42
Reynaldo López
Reynaldo López RHP
1.33 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.30 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 52 🟠 C · · 71 0.226 89.4 9.0% 22.0% vs RHP 394 17.1% 7.7% 13.5% 34
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.198 88.6 7.6% 19.6% vs RHP 389 15.8% 23.1% 19.4% 32
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 49 ⚪ D · · 85 0.197 91.8 7.8% 20.0% vs RHP 402 13.6% 15.4% 17.9% 29
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 36 ⚪ D · · 157 0.151 88.3 6.6% 16.2% vs RHP 398 6.5% 7.7% 8.4% 23
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.148 87.8 4.3% 10.0% vs RHP 378 5.7% 7.7% 7.2% 39
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 210 0.128 85.3 3.9% 14.3% vs RHP 393 2.7% 0.0% 6.6% 22
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 218 0.122 87.2 1.4% 2.9% vs RHP 357 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 37
🏟️
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