LAD
@
6:45p
SD
Stadium Conditions
Petco Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.88×
Wind 3 mph in
64°F
open
-12
9 mph · in
69°F
6:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-12
9 mph · in
66°F
7:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-11
8 mph · in
65°F
8:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
7 mph · in
65°F
9:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
5 mph · cross
64°F
10:45p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.88
64°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +280 | 🔥 HOT | 18 | 0.252 | 93.8 | 11.5% | 26.1% vs RHP | 404 | 18.7% | 40.0% | 25.3% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | · | 29 | 0.240 | 90.5 | 10.9% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 19.7% | 35.7% | 25.3% | 51 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 52 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 68 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 9.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 14.5% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Mookie Betts | 45 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 103 | 0.179 | 89.8 | 7.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 385 | 10.5% | 25.0% | 17.5% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 45 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 104 | 0.202 | 89.6 | 8.1% | 25.5% vs RHP | 390 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 33 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.134 | 88.9 | 6.3% | 10.4% vs RHP | 400 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.111 | 89.5 | 7.0% | 10.3% vs RHP | 373 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 20 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ty France | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 37 | 0.219 | 91.0 | 10.7% | 35.0% vs RHP | 393 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 28.5% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 56 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 52 | 0.221 | 89.2 | 9.3% | 32.5% vs RHP | 394 | 13.2% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 56 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.190 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 28.9% vs RHP | 399 | 17.8% | 25.0% | 23.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 45 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 108 | 0.140 | 90.2 | 10.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 407 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.153 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 159 | 0.109 | 87.9 | 8.1% | 18.9% vs RHP | 395 | 9.9% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.110 | 86.3 | 5.6% | 4.2% vs RHP | 382 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 6 |