2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
ATH
@ 6:38p
LAA
Angel Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Angel Stadium

First pitch 6:38p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 3 mph out 65°F open
-11
11 mph · in
72°F
6:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
10 mph · in
69°F
7:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
9 mph · in
67°F
8:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
8 mph · in
65°F
9:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
8 mph · in
64°F
10:38p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99

65°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Walbert Ureña RHP
0.66 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.28 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 67 🔵 C+ +320 · 16 0.251 94.3 10.3% 43.3% vs RHP 410 22.4% 23.1% 30.6% 29
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 62 🔵 C+ +350 · 31 0.251 91.4 9.2% 21.4% vs RHP 416 20.8% 18.2% 17.5% 37
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 55 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 59 0.233 89.9 7.8% 17.4% vs RHP 403 14.7% 15.4% 14.6% 37
4 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 135 0.155 89.7 6.9% 16.2% vs RHP 404 5.4% 0.0% 8.8% 17
5 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 35 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 160 0.119 88.3 6.2% 26.1% vs RHP 402 4.6% 8.3% 8.3% 23
6 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.105 84.2 3.1% 11.5% vs RHP 375 5.2% 10.0% 7.5% 36
7 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 25 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 211 0.082 85.9 2.4% 10.0% vs RHP 373 6.2% 10.0% 6.8% 26
J.T. Ginn RHP
0.97 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.06 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 62 🔵 C+ +350 🔥 HOT 30 0.225 90.2 8.9% 23.2% vs RHP 403 20.0% 33.3% 25.1% 28
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 60 🔵 C+ +400 🔥 HOT 38 0.221 88.1 8.3% 39.3% vs RHP 402 16.7% 66.7% 21.3% 5
3 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 40 ⚪ D +700 · 130 0.152 87.3 7.2% 11.1% vs RHP 386 8.8% 0.0% 8.6% 18
4 Vaughn Grissom Vaughn Grissom 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 134 0.144 89.6 6.3% 16.7% vs RHP 396 10.0% 0.0% 8.8% 16
5 Jo Adell Jo Adell 39 ⚪ D +425 ❄ COLD 138 0.134 90.3 7.0% 10.0% vs RHP 415 10.7% 0.0% 7.4% 41
6 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 38 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 144 0.119 87.2 8.1% 14.3% vs RHP 408 4.6% 10.0% 7.8% 25
7 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 37 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 146 0.120 88.6 6.9% 16.1% vs RHP 384 9.3% 0.0% 10.5% 2
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 36 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 154 0.128 87.5 3.9% 15.4% vs RHP 372 9.4% 16.7% 9.9% 34
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.