MIA
@
7:15p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 1 mph in
70°F
open
-5
2 mph · cross
75°F
7:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
3 mph · slight_out
74°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-3
3 mph · slight_out
73°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
3 mph · out
72°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
3 mph · out
71°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
70°F, wind 1 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 56 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.192 | 91.3 | 12.0% | 26.5% vs RHP | 391 | 13.5% | 33.3% | 20.0% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 51 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.203 | 90.6 | 10.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 9.4% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Heriberto Hernández | 42 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🔥 HOT | 119 | 0.181 | 92.2 | 9.7% | 19.1% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 36 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.140 | 89.8 | 8.0% | 11.1% vs RHP | 400 | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.134 | 87.1 | 7.1% | 4.7% vs RHP | 396 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 28 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.100 | 86.6 | 5.8% | 7.7% vs RHP | 379 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 217 | 0.104 | 87.0 | 3.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 30 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.235 | 93.9 | 10.8% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 92 | 0.201 | 91.7 | 9.5% | 23.1% vs RHP | 405 | 17.3% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 33 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.166 | 89.9 | 7.7% | 19.4% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 182 | 0.141 | 85.9 | 8.8% | 22.7% vs RHP | 387 | 6.4% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.149 | 90.0 | 7.9% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pages ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.134 | 87.0 | 7.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 23 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 215 | 0.091 | 87.7 | 5.4% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 37 |