NYY
@
7:10p
BOS
Stadium Conditions
Fenway Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
66°F
open
+3
3 mph · out
76°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
1 mph · out
76°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
2 mph · out
74°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
2 mph · out
72°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
3 mph · slight_out
71°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
66°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 71 | 🟡 B | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.309 | 91.9 | 10.1% | 45.5% vs LHP | 390 | 25.0% | 30.8% | 39.0% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.263 | 86.9 | 8.8% | 42.1% vs LHP | 390 | 20.5% | 41.7% | 27.9% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 99 | 0.187 | 89.1 | 7.3% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Wells | 31 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.094 | 89.3 | 6.7% | 9.1% vs LHP | 377 | 7.8% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 8 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Caballero ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.136 | 83.9 | 4.4% | 30.0% vs LHP | 371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 30 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 57 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 48 | 0.229 | 90.0 | 9.3% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 27.3% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 49 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 83 | 0.173 | 89.8 | 8.9% | 13.0% vs RHP | 402 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.162 | 89.8 | 8.7% | 36.7% vs RHP | 396 | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 132 | 0.175 | 86.4 | 6.2% | 15.4% vs RHP | 370 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 36 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.137 | 85.2 | 4.6% | 17.4% vs RHP | 388 | 7.0% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 204 | 0.088 | 91.0 | 6.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.093 | 86.0 | 6.2% | 2.9% vs RHP | 388 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Masataka Yoshida ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.094 | 88.4 | 3.2% | 3.3% vs RHP | 393 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 18 |