2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.08× Wind 5 mph slight_out 67°F open
+13
10 mph · out
81°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
9 mph · out
79°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+11
8 mph · out
78°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
6 mph · out
76°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+8
5 mph · out
75°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08

67°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

NYM Bullpen Proxy
1.04 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 90 🔥 A+ +280 · 1 0.344 93.2 21.1% 37.5% 404 27.4% 25.0% 33.9% 26
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 71 🟡 B +400 · 10 0.243 90.4 12.3% 25.4% 401 21.1% 23.1% 29.1% 37
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 57 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 49 0.182 90.1 8.5% 18.0% 392 13.7% 30.8% 20.6% 37
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 46 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 101 0.163 89.3 7.1% 9.1% 393 9.9% 7.7% 9.6% 38
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 39 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 136 0.132 89.7 4.2% 12.3% 385 10.8% 8.3% 8.2% 41
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 34 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 166 0.104 88.8 4.6% 8.9% 394 9.3% 0.0% 7.7% 35
7 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 33 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 173 0.117 · 4.8% 10.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 30
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 205 0.100 86.9 1.2% 5.3% 382 3.6% 0.0% 7.3% 24
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler RHP
1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 69 🔵 C+ +320 🌧️ COOL 11 0.264 93.3 10.1% 32.5% vs RHP 399 20.0% 15.4% 37.3% 32
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.186 89.5 8.4% 18.8% vs RHP 410 13.3% 33.3% 21.0% 20
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 50 🟠 C +525 · 78 0.179 90.7 10.6% 24.0% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 21.5% 29
4 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 47 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 94 0.136 90.5 7.2% 11.8% vs RHP 382 11.4% 28.6% 14.0% 42
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 45 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 105 0.140 90.1 8.0% 14.3% vs RHP 399 9.1% 14.3% 10.3% 41
6 A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing 36 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 149 0.135 · 6.6% 12.5% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 36
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 33 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 175 0.085 88.8 7.0% 8.8% vs RHP 415 4.1% 0.0% 8.9% 18
8 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 190 0.088 88.3 5.3% 7.1% vs RHP 413 3.8% 0.0% 7.4% 17
🏟️
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