SEA
@
7:10p
CLE
Stadium Conditions
Progressive Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.89×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
60°F
open
-1
3 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
2 mph · slight_out
71°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
3 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
4 mph · cross
66°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · cross
64°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.80
60°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 17 | 0.282 | 92.9 | 11.6% | 27.1% | 396 | 16.4% | 30.0% | 24.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.250 | 90.9 | 12.1% | 28.0% | 385 | 17.5% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 91 | 0.183 | 90.0 | 9.0% | 29.6% vs LHP | 410 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 43 | ⚪ D | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.152 | 87.4 | 10.0% | 7.7% vs LHP | 391 | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 39 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.158 | 91.6 | 8.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 385 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 151 | 0.137 | 88.1 | 6.6% | 15.0% vs LHP | 385 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
J.P. Crawford | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.160 | · | 8.4% | 12.5% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 33 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.117 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 7.1% vs LHP | 390 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 33 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Travis Bazzana | 48 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.213 | 88.7 | 6.9% | 21.9% vs RHP | 395 | 13.9% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 48 | ⚪ D | +370 | · | 88 | 0.169 | 89.0 | 10.8% | 23.7% vs RHP | 388 | 11.4% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Rhys Hoskins ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.176 | 88.1 | 10.1% | 21.1% vs RHP | 378 | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.140 | 87.6 | 8.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 398 | 7.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 28 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 199 | 0.125 | 86.5 | 5.1% | 11.8% vs RHP | 382 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Steven Kwan ⚡ | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.047 | 83.3 | 2.2% | 2.3% vs RHP | 381 | 1.4% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 24 |