2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 2 Lawrence Butler 5 HRs · 3 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 6 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 7 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 8 Luis Torrens 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Trent Grisham 4 HRs · 11 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 12 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 2 Lawrence Butler 5 HRs · 3 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 6 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 7 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 8 Luis Torrens 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Trent Grisham 4 HRs · 11 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 12 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs
KB

KC Bullpen Proxy

0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 6 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
14.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.73
FIP
4.73
xFIP
#18
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 65
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
65
no model flags today
Vulnerability 65th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
0 of 6 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
ATH @ KC 7:40p · Kauffman Stadium Park 1.00 Wind 8.0 E cross Roof open · 84°F BP FIP 4.73 BP HR 14.5% 3L / 2R listed (+1S) · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
Overall Score
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
7.4% D 48
126 Jonah Heim S
7.2% D 45
153 Henry Bolte R
7.8% D 42
6.8% D 41
197 Jacob Wilson R
2.5% D 33
203 Jeff Mcneil L
1.4% D 31
0 of 6 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB14.5% 65
HR/9
FIP4.73 74
xFIP4.73
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-18
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Lawrence Butler L 0 never faced
Jonah Heim S 0 never faced
Henry Bolte R 0 never faced
Carlos Cortes L 0 never faced
Jacob Wilson R 0 never faced
Jeff Mcneil L 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for KC Bullpen Proxy.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Kauffman Stadium
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 1.000 Wind 8 mph from E Temp 84°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p 8 84° -4
7:40p 8 83° -5
8:40p 8 80° -6
9:40p 8 76° -7
10:40p 9 75° -8
-6
Slight red alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 8 mph from ENE
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
320ft
short
CF
400ft
avg
RF
320ft
short
vs LHH → RF
356ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
355ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: LF 320 ft
Fences reportedly moved in ~10 ft for 2026 — verify
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for KC Bullpen Proxy.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about KC Bullpen Proxy

Is KC Bullpen Proxy likely to give up a home run tonight?

KC Bullpen Proxy pitches tonight (ATH @ KC at Kauffman Stadium). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.160 · build 665

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