Today · 2026-06-25

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#6 Luke Raley vs Bubba Chandler FIP 5.52 HR/FB 20.0% #9 Dillon Dingler vs Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 25.0% #13 Spencer Torkelson vs Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 25.0%

📦 STACK Cade Cavalli FIP 3.18 HR/FB 11.4% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #11 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Matthew Boyd FIP 2.36 HR/FB 18.2% → #7 Juan Soto, #12 Francisco Alvarez

📦 STACK Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 25.0% → #9 Dillon Dingler, #13 Spencer Torkelson

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-24. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	85	-10.9	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%21.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.7×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.59 IP152.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-1 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.9°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +1
2	Ben Rice (L) ³	80	-0.3	●	Connelly Early (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●○○○	1.5×	·	BOS Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.22 IP140.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.0°F Wind4 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +1
3	Yordan Alvarez (L)	80	-11.6	●	DET Bullpen Proxy HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%18.7% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	23d Last HR · 2026-06-02 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance363 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	2.5×	·	DET Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.3% HR/90.95 FIP3.82 IP151.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+39 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
4	James Wood (L) ³	79	+3.3	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%23.6% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.9°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +1
5	Kazuma Okamoto (R)	77	-5.1	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle23.0° Distance388 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●○●○○	1.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
6	Luke Raley (L)	75	-1.0	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) SEA @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%16.9% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-11 OffKyle Bradish Exit Velo92.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance388 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	3.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.1°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
7	Dillon Dingler (R)	69	-3.8	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffGrant Taylor Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle20.0° Distance384 ft StadiumComerica Park	●●○○○	1.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
8	Jordan Walker (R) ⁴	69	-1.2	●	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffJustin Lawrence Exit Velo116.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance454 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	3.3×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.6°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
9	Juan Soto (L)	67	-7.6	●	Matthew Boyd CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	1.7×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1
10	Ian Happ (S)	67	-4.4	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffReiver Sanmartin Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance404 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○○○○	2.8×	3	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1
11	Bryce Harper (L) ²	66	-5.9	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffAustin Warren Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance390 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●●○○○	0.6×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.59 IP152.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-1 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.9°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +1
12	Spencer Torkelson (R)	65	-4.9	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-15 OffKai-Wei Teng Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle27.0° Distance372 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	2.7×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
13	Shea Langeliers (R) ³	65	-4.0	●	Landen Roupp (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	12:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+55 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.4°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
14	Christian Walker (R)	64	-9.9	●	DET Bullpen Proxy HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle20.0° Distance394 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.3% HR/90.95 FIP3.82 IP151.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
15	Nick Kurtz (L) ²	64	-4.2	●	Landen Roupp (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	12:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%18.4% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	1.0×	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+66 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.4°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16	Francisco Alvarez (R)	63	-7.7	●	Matthew Boyd CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	8	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%17.1% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffJavier Assad Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance437 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○●●	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1
17	Brandon Lowe (L)	62	-9.5	●	SEA Bullpen Proxy SEA @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-16 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo104.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance371 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.2×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.32 IP133.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.1°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
18	Kerry Carpenter (L)	62	-9.0	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffPeter Lambert Exit Velo96.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance337 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
19	Curtis Mead (R)	61	+0.2	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffJonathan Bowlan Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle31.0° Distance394 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-12 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.9°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +1
20	Mark Vientos (R)	60	-7.5	●	Matthew Boyd CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffShota Imanaga Exit Velo108.4 mph Angle23.0° Distance416 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○●○●	0.0×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1
21	Jac Caglianone (L) ⁴	60	-9.5	●	Casey Legumina (RHP) KC @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%16.8% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	●●○●○	0.2×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.05 IP137.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
22	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	59	-10.3	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○●○○	0.7×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1
23	Willson Contreras (R) ³	58	-4.1	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffNathan Eovaldi Exit Velo101.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance392 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/90.84 FIP3.55 IP139.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.0°F Wind4 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +1
24	Junior Caminero (R) ³	58	-13.0	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffBeck Way Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle38.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
25	Corbin Carroll (L) ⁴	57	-7.4	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle38.0° Distance378 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.95 FIP4.30 IP152.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.6°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
26	Riley Greene (L)	57	-8.2	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffGerrit Cole Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle39.0° Distance422 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●○○	0.4×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind8.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
27	Jake Burger (R)	55	-7.4	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-20 OffJason Adam Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle32.0° Distance408 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○●○○○	0.8×	·	TOR Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.53 FIP2.77 IP152.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
28	Joc Pederson (L) ³	55	-6.5	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffPete Fairbanks Exit Velo102.0 mph Angle28.0° Distance426 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○●●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.53 FIP2.77 IP152.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29	Max Muncy (S) ³	55	·	●	Landen Roupp (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	12:45p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffDylan Smith Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+61 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.4°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
30	Casey Schmitt (R) ³	55	-4.8	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	12:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-20 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance414 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.79 FIP3.87 IP136.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+55 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.4°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.7%

▼ -8.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-24

31 HRs

25%

8 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#10 Max Muncy

32.3%

🟡

#14 Jake Bauers

23.3%

🔵

#22 Jorge Soler

23.2%

🔵

#24 Curtis Mead

30.3%

🔵

#46 Spencer Steer

25.6%

🟠

#48 Joc Pederson

17.2%

🟠

#49 Paul Goldschmidt

28.5%

🟠

#50 Wyatt Langford

23.6%

🟠

Missed

Mark Vientos Samuel Basallo Ketel Marte Jared Young Francisco Alvarez +18 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

CJ Abrams ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Byron Buxton ×2 Dillon Dingler ×2 Jac Caglianone ×2

❄️ Cold

Jackson Chourio 0 of 7d Ian Happ 0 of 7d Matt Olson 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 6d Corbin Carroll 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 15.8%

C 12.9%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-25

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.