2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
AZ
@ 6:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Busch Stadium

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 0.83× Wind 2 mph in 70°F open
-2
7 mph · slight_out
84°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · slight_out
83°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
6 mph · slight_out
80°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
6 mph · out
78°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
5 mph · out
76°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83

70°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen RHP
1.73 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.79 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 63 🔵 C+ +425 🌧️ COOL 11 0.238 93.9 11.6% 30.2% vs RHP 408 18.2% 7.7% 16.4% 39
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 57 🟠 C +475 · 23 0.202 91.7 10.3% 23.5% vs RHP 405 17.6% 27.3% 15.1% 46
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 41 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 67 0.168 89.9 8.3% 19.4% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 17.3% 35
4 Nathan Church Nathan Church 39 ⚪ D +750 · 78 0.142 85.9 9.5% 23.8% vs RHP 387 6.5% 0.0% 8.1% 21
5 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 38 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 79 0.151 90.0 8.5% 20.0% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 45
6 Pedro Pages Pedro Pages 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.135 87.0 7.7% 20.0% vs RHP 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 8
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 30 ⚪ D +950 · 105 0.092 87.7 5.8% 13.6% vs RHP 389 4.2% 9.1% 7.4% 40
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy RHP
1.34 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.54 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 59 🟠 C +400 ❄ COLD 18 0.256 91.8 10.9% 25.0% vs RHP 406 16.9% 15.4% 15.1% 40
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 48 ⚪ D +400 🌤️ WARM 46 0.188 91.3 10.0% 14.6% vs RHP 413 13.1% 15.4% 10.1% 48
3 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 47 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 50 0.200 90.3 9.6% 18.8% vs RHP 395 11.4% 8.3% 11.2% 33
4 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 77 0.184 86.5 8.1% 13.3% vs RHP 376 2.9% 0.0% 16.4% 8
5 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 36 ⚪ D +750 · 89 0.157 85.5 7.6% 15.8% vs RHP 400 9.7% 0.0% 8.5% 40
6 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 34 ⚪ D · · 98 0.158 86.9 6.3% 11.1% vs RHP 399 7.1% 0.0% 8.1% 25
7 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.117 89.3 7.8% 16.7% vs RHP 396 8.1% 0.0% 7.2% 12
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 27 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 114 0.105 87.2 5.0% 8.1% vs RHP 379 4.7% 7.7% 6.4% 37
🏟️
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