AZ
@
6:45p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 2 mph in
70°F
open
-2
7 mph · slight_out
84°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · slight_out
83°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
6 mph · slight_out
80°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
6 mph · out
78°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
5 mph · out
76°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
70°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 11 | 0.238 | 93.9 | 11.6% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 57 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 23 | 0.202 | 91.7 | 10.3% | 23.5% vs RHP | 405 | 17.6% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 46 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 41 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 19.4% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.3% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 78 | 0.142 | 85.9 | 9.5% | 23.8% vs RHP | 387 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 38 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.151 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pages ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.135 | 87.0 | 7.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 30 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 105 | 0.092 | 87.7 | 5.8% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 40 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 59 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 18 | 0.256 | 91.8 | 10.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 406 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 48 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 10.0% | 14.6% vs RHP | 413 | 13.1% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 48 |
| 3 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 47 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.200 | 90.3 | 9.6% | 18.8% vs RHP | 395 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.184 | 86.5 | 8.1% | 13.3% vs RHP | 376 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 8 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 36 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 89 | 0.157 | 85.5 | 7.6% | 15.8% vs RHP | 400 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.158 | 86.9 | 6.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 399 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.117 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 396 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 27 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 5.0% | 8.1% vs RHP | 379 | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 37 |