2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
SEA
@ 12:35p
PIT
PNC Park · 12 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 12:35p · roof open
Park 0.79× Wind 1 mph in 61°F open
-6
9 mph · slight_out
75°F
12:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
10 mph · slight_out
76°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
10 mph · slight_out
76°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
10 mph · slight_out
78°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
10 mph · slight_out
79°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.71

61°F, wind 1 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler RHP
1.09 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.29 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 60 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 14 0.255 90.9 11.3% 37.8% vs RHP 385 17.9% 10.0% 21.8% 15
2 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 46 ⚪ D +400 · 51 0.185 90.0 8.5% 20.0% vs RHP 410 18.3% 9.1% 8.4% 31
3 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 43 ⚪ D +255 🌤️ WARM 65 0.155 87.4 9.4% 13.6% vs RHP 391 14.0% 12.5% 8.9% 18
4 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 81 0.136 88.1 6.2% 10.9% vs RHP 385 9.2% 25.0% 9.8% 41
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 38 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 82 0.160 91.6 7.5% 20.7% vs RHP 385 8.7% 0.0% 9.1% 6
6 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 35 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 91 0.163 · 7.9% 30.0% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 21
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 32 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 101 0.115 88.0 6.3% 17.1% vs RHP 390 10.0% 8.3% 7.0% 34
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller RHP
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.22 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 53 🟠 C +330 🌤️ WARM 32 0.258 90.6 8.1% 25.9% vs RHP 392 16.4% 25.0% 19.6% 37
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 44 ⚪ D +475 🔥 HOT 63 0.194 91.3 7.6% 16.7% vs RHP 410 13.7% 25.0% 14.3% 37
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 35 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 94 0.167 89.6 5.7% 20.5% vs RHP 378 16.3% 9.1% 7.6% 39
4 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 19 ⚪ D +950 · 125 0.081 86.1 4.2% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.2% 8.3% 7.0% 39
5 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.058 83.4 1.9% 9.1% vs RHP 410 2.8% 0.0% 5.1% 37
🏟️
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