SEA
@
12:35p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 12:35p
· roof open
Park 0.79×
Wind 1 mph in
61°F
open
-6
9 mph · slight_out
75°F
12:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
10 mph · slight_out
76°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
10 mph · slight_out
76°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
10 mph · slight_out
78°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
10 mph · slight_out
79°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.71
61°F, wind 1 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.255 | 90.9 | 11.3% | 37.8% vs RHP | 385 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 51 | 0.185 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | 410 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 43 | ⚪ D | +255 | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.155 | 87.4 | 9.4% | 13.6% vs RHP | 391 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.136 | 88.1 | 6.2% | 10.9% vs RHP | 385 | 9.2% | 25.0% | 9.8% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 82 | 0.160 | 91.6 | 7.5% | 20.7% vs RHP | 385 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
J.P. Crawford ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.163 | · | 7.9% | 30.0% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.115 | 88.0 | 6.3% | 17.1% vs RHP | 390 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 34 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 53 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.258 | 90.6 | 8.1% | 25.9% vs RHP | 392 | 16.4% | 25.0% | 19.6% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🔥 HOT | 63 | 0.194 | 91.3 | 7.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 410 | 13.7% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.167 | 89.6 | 5.7% | 20.5% vs RHP | 378 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 19 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 125 | 0.081 | 86.1 | 4.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Mangum | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.058 | 83.4 | 1.9% | 9.1% vs RHP | 410 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 37 |