ATH
@
12:45p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 12:45p
· roof open
Park 0.84×
Wind 8 mph out
56°F
open
+4
11 mph · out
64°F
12:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+5
13 mph · out
66°F
1:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
14 mph · out
67°F
2:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · out
68°F
3:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
16 mph · slight_out
68°F
4:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93
56°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 58 | 🟠 C | +425 | · | 21 | 0.230 | 89.4 | 11.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 394 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Rafael Devers | 53 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 35 | 0.190 | 91.8 | 9.8% | 13.6% vs LHP | 402 | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.200 | 88.6 | 9.5% | 10.0% vs LHP | 389 | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 8.3% | 18.2% vs LHP | 398 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.147 | 87.8 | 5.4% | 14.3% vs LHP | 378 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.128 | 85.3 | 4.9% | 7.5% | 393 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.122 | 87.2 | 1.7% | 5.0% vs LHP | 357 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 37 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 56 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 27 | 0.254 | 94.3 | 8.2% | 43.3% vs RHP | 410 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 27.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 51 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 40 | 0.253 | 91.4 | 7.3% | 22.6% vs RHP | 416 | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Zack Gelof | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.216 | 89.3 | 5.1% | 26.7% vs RHP | 392 | 21.9% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 45 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.236 | 89.9 | 6.2% | 17.8% vs RHP | 403 | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Cortes ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.155 | 89.7 | 5.5% | 16.2% vs RHP | 404 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Lawrence Butler ⚡ | 25 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.121 | 88.3 | 5.0% | 26.1% vs RHP | 402 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Wilson ⚡ | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.106 | 84.2 | 2.5% | 11.5% vs RHP | 375 | 5.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff Mcneil | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.083 | 85.9 | 1.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 373 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 22 |