2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
ATH
@ 12:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 12:45p · roof open
Park 0.84× Wind 8 mph out 56°F open
+4
11 mph · out
64°F
12:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+5
13 mph · out
66°F
1:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
14 mph · out
67°F
2:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · out
68°F
3:45p
Boost for HR environment
+6
16 mph · slight_out
68°F
4:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93

56°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs LHP 🎯 Susceptible
2.25 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.27 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 58 🟠 C +425 · 21 0.230 89.4 11.3% 16.7% vs LHP 394 17.3% 8.3% 13.7% 30
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 53 🟠 C +475 · 35 0.190 91.8 9.8% 13.6% vs LHP 402 13.8% 16.7% 18.0% 27
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 52 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 38 0.200 88.6 9.5% 10.0% vs LHP 389 14.7% 16.7% 14.6% 30
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 41 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 70 0.152 88.3 8.3% 18.2% vs LHP 398 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 21
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.147 87.8 5.4% 14.3% vs LHP 378 5.8% 8.3% 9.4% 36
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.128 85.3 4.9% 7.5% 393 2.7% 0.0% 6.7% 21
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 118 0.122 87.2 1.7% 5.0% vs LHP 357 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 37
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp RHP
0.56 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.18 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 56 🟠 C +400 · 27 0.254 94.3 8.2% 43.3% vs RHP 410 22.7% 25.0% 27.9% 28
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 51 🟠 C +400 · 40 0.253 91.4 7.3% 22.6% vs RHP 416 21.1% 20.0% 15.3% 34
3 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 56 0.216 89.3 5.1% 26.7% vs RHP 392 21.9% 25.0% 20.0% 29
4 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 45 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 57 0.236 89.9 6.2% 17.8% vs RHP 403 14.9% 16.7% 15.2% 33
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 112 0.155 89.7 5.5% 16.2% vs RHP 404 5.4% 0.0% 8.0% 17
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 25 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 117 0.121 88.3 5.0% 26.1% vs RHP 402 4.7% 9.1% 8.1% 19
7 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.106 84.2 2.5% 11.5% vs RHP 375 5.2% 10.0% 6.0% 36
8 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.083 85.9 1.9% 10.0% vs RHP 373 6.2% 10.0% 6.2% 22
🏟️
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