HOU
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
62°F
open
+8
9 mph · out
76°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+9
9 mph · out
77°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+8
8 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
6 mph · out
72°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+4
5 mph · out
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
62°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.298 | 91.0 | 10.6% | 32.6% vs RHP | 396 | 21.3% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 56 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 25 | 0.191 | 89.9 | 10.7% | 22.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.4% | 23.1% | 24.3% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 55 | 🟠 C | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.230 | 91.3 | 9.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 373 | 15.0% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 49 | ⚪ D | +350 | · | 43 | 0.156 | 91.6 | 10.7% | 13.5% vs RHP | 393 | 10.1% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.143 | 87.2 | 7.2% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 9.3% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.115 | 88.8 | 8.2% | 9.1% vs RHP | 380 | 3.0% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 36 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 85 | 0.139 | 87.9 | 8.2% | 6.5% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 24 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.085 | 84.8 | 4.5% | 5.9% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 25 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +225 | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.309 | 94.5 | 10.9% | 27.4% vs RHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.9% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.240 | 90.3 | 8.2% | 29.4% vs RHP | 390 | 20.8% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.135 | 88.1 | 7.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 13.4% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.167 | 86.9 | 5.3% | 16.1% vs RHP | 388 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.142 | 89.6 | 8.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 418 | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 43 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.164 | 87.1 | 6.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 367 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 75 | 0.158 | 85.9 | 6.7% | 26.9% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.0% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 27 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 113 | 0.115 | 85.7 | 3.2% | 11.5% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 14 |