2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 1.02× Wind 4 mph in 63°F open
-1
9 mph · cross
85°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · cross
83°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · cross
81°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
9 mph · cross
77°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
8 mph · cross
74°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02

63°F, wind 4 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli RHP
0.66 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 73 🟡 B +210 · 2 0.344 93.2 12.8% 46.3% vs RHP 404 27.8% 27.3% 33.4% 24
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 59 🟠 C +370 🌧️ COOL 16 0.246 90.4 9.7% 40.0% vs RHP 401 20.0% 16.7% 22.4% 34
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 49 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 42 0.184 90.1 8.1% 21.6% vs RHP 392 12.5% 25.0% 20.0% 33
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 40 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 72 0.161 89.3 7.4% 9.8% vs RHP 393 10.0% 8.3% 8.8% 36
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 35 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 92 0.134 89.7 5.7% 17.2% vs RHP 385 11.0% 9.1% 7.9% 39
6 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 29 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 110 0.118 · 6.1% 21.7% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 25
7 Trea Turner Trea Turner 29 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 111 0.102 88.8 5.9% 13.6% vs RHP 394 9.5% 0.0% 7.4% 32
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 122 0.102 86.9 3.0% 7.4% vs RHP 382 3.7% 0.0% 6.9% 20
Cristopher Sánchez
Cristopher Sánchez LHP
0.58 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.08 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 65 🔵 C+ +525 · 7 0.248 95.8 14.5% 29.4% vs LHP 408 25.8% 16.7% 20.2% 33
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 58 🟠 C +625 🌧️ COOL 20 0.229 88.6 9.8% 20.0% vs LHP 399 22.0% 30.0% 25.5% 26
3 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 53 🟠 C +750 🌧️ COOL 31 0.236 90.1 9.5% 17.6% vs LHP 389 33.3% 0.0% 23.6% 34
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 44 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 60 0.193 89.3 7.0% 20.0% vs LHP 378 14.8% 11.1% 12.8% 25
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 36 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 87 0.155 87.5 7.9% 0.0% vs LHP 403 8.3% 0.0% 6.8% 34
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 35 ⚪ D · · 93 0.145 89.2 7.4% 5.9% vs LHP 391 9.3% 0.0% 7.8% 21
7 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 9 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.043 84.6 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 25
🏟️
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