2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
Mark Vientos
Mark Vientos
NYM RHB
Mark Vientos

Mark Vientos

RHB
NYM · 59 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
13.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
17.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.155
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#21
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.191
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
74th pctile
89.5
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
54th pctile
10.2%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
73th pctile
17.6%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
77th pctile
410
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
89th pctile
13.6%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
40.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
25.8%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
96th pctile
17
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 8 games · 8 HRs in 59 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
0
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
8
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
59
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
11
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
12%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#110.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-02 #26 Robbie Ray Oracle Park · · · 108.6 mph 406.0 ft
All Appearances
59 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #55 Shota Imanaga R/L * 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-06-22 #54 Shota Imanaga R/L * 19.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-20 #123 Cristopher Sánchez R/L * 16.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-17 #47 Nick Lodolo R/L * 21.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #137 Martín Pérez R/L * 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 #85 Griffin Canning · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #113 Michael King · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #127 Logan Gilbert · 11.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #77 Emerson Hancock · 11.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #139 John King · 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #134 Tyler Phillips · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #149 Max Meyer · 10.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #89 Andrew Abbott · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #30 Nick Lodolo · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #92 Tyler Phillips · 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #93 Max Meyer · 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #48 Eury Pérez · 19.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #36 Cade Cavalli · 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #58 Zack Littell · 12.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #58 Foster Griffin · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #41 Jake Irvin · 16.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-17 #27 Elmer Rodríguez · 22.6% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-15 #58 Cam Schlittler · 21.9% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-14 #52 Keider Montero · 17.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-05-13 #150 Framber Valdez · 11.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-12 #96 Jack Flaherty · 14.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-10 #175 Eduardo Rodriguez · 10.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-09 #151 Merrill Kelly · 13.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-08 #150 Ryne Nelson · 13.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-05-07 #25 Jose Quintana · 13.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #71 Michael Lorenzen · 16.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #57 Michael Lorenzen · 15.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #21 Tomoyuki Sugano · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #183 Jack Kochanowicz · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-02 #165 Reid Detmers · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #182 Walbert Urena · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #75 Miles Mikolas · 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #234 Cade Cavalli · 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #184 Zack Littell · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #194 Jose Quintana · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #243 Jose Quintana · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #229 Michael Lorenzen · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #135 Joe Ryan · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #215 Connor Prielipp · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #183 Simeon Woods Richardson · 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #129 Javier Assad · 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #177 Jameson Taillon · 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-14 #46 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 14.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-11 #110 Jacob Lopez · 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #38 Eduardo Rodriguez · 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #115 Ryne Nelson · 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #74 Zac Gallen · 13.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #139 Logan Webb · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #122 Landen Roupp · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #26 Robbie Ray · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-01 #131 Matthew Liberatore · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #56 Andre Pallante · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #185 Kyle Leahy · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #113 Paul Skenes · 9.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Mark Vientos's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

59 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.