CHC
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 3 mph in
67°F
open
+4
15 mph · slight_out
75°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
13 mph · slight_out
72°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
12 mph · slight_out
70°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
11 mph · slight_out
69°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
67°F, wind 3 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto ⚡ | 71 | 🟡 B | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 3 | 0.264 | 93.3 | 13.3% | 16.0% vs LHP | 399 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 27.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 57 | 🟠 C | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.177 | 89.5 | 11.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 410 | 13.6% | 40.0% | 22.4% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Bo Bichette | 48 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 47 | 0.127 | 90.5 | 9.5% | 25.0% vs LHP | 382 | 11.5% | 35.7% | 17.6% | 45 |
| 4 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 47 | ⚪ D | +390 | · | 48 | 0.148 | 90.7 | 14.0% | 14.3% vs LHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.140 | 90.1 | 10.5% | 25.0% vs LHP | 399 | 9.2% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Marcus Semien | 41 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.131 | 86.1 | 10.0% | 6.2% vs LHP | 391 | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 100 | 0.086 | 88.8 | 9.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 415 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
A.J. Ewing | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 104 | 0.110 | · | 7.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Torrens | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.089 | 88.3 | 6.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 413 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 17 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.237 | 91.5 | 8.1% | 21.1% vs RHP | 393 | 20.0% | 42.9% | 29.7% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 58 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 19 | 0.240 | 90.0 | 8.6% | 28.3% vs RHP | 403 | 21.5% | 7.1% | 19.2% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 46 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 52 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 13.0% vs RHP | 400 | 12.3% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 45 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.149 | 89.2 | 6.0% | 9.8% vs RHP | 394 | 14.1% | 28.6% | 11.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.173 | 89.5 | 6.9% | 24.2% vs RHP | 409 | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.114 | 88.5 | 6.2% | 5.6% vs RHP | 421 | 5.8% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.130 | 87.8 | 5.1% | 17.0% vs RHP | 395 | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 25 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.095 | 85.9 | 2.5% | 4.8% vs RHP | 383 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 43 |