2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:45p
MIL
American Family Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

American Family Field

First pitch 6:45p · roof retractable
Park 1.11× Wind 2 mph slight_out 55°F retractable
+8
5 mph · out
70°F
6:45p
Boost for HR environment
+8
5 mph · out
67°F
7:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
63°F
8:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
60°F
9:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
59°F
10:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89

55°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
1.33 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 79 🟡 B +370 🌤️ WARM 3 0.273 92.6 12.0% 37.5% vs RHP 399 20.4% 22.2% 34.4% 20
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 74 🟡 B +330 🌧️ COOL 5 0.233 92.3 12.3% 20.0% vs RHP 395 17.9% 25.0% 30.3% 40
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 59 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 41 0.153 92.3 12.2% 23.8% vs RHP 422 7.0% 20.0% 15.6% 29
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 59 🟠 C +500 · 42 0.196 91.0 10.2% 27.5% vs RHP 406 10.7% 9.1% 14.9% 29
5 William Contreras William Contreras 54 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 64 0.149 90.5 9.1% 18.4% vs RHP 418 11.1% 18.2% 12.3% 37
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 48 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 89 0.134 88.2 8.6% 14.3% vs RHP 399 7.1% 11.1% 8.7% 27
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 39 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 137 0.098 86.3 6.9% 7.5% vs RHP 383 5.5% 0.0% 7.7% 15
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 34 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 167 0.093 85.9 4.8% 6.5% vs RHP 402 3.2% 0.0% 7.5% 23
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
0.37 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.46 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 61 🔵 C+ +400 · 34 0.230 91.5 5.4% 22.4% vs RHP 393 19.8% 42.9% 26.5% 34
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 55 🟠 C +500 ❄ COLD 56 0.241 90.0 5.8% 27.1% vs RHP 403 21.2% 7.1% 17.3% 31
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 47 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 90 0.174 89.2 4.1% 15.9% vs RHP 394 13.9% 28.6% 18.4% 33
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 44 ⚪ D +525 · 110 0.158 88.3 5.3% 14.8% vs RHP 400 12.2% 21.4% 11.7% 34
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 40 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 125 0.167 89.5 4.6% 23.5% vs RHP 409 10.0% 0.0% 11.5% 24
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 34 ⚪ D +750 · 170 0.116 88.5 4.2% 5.3% vs RHP 421 5.7% 8.3% 7.4% 19
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 33 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 176 0.128 87.8 3.5% 16.7% vs RHP 395 6.3% 0.0% 8.3% 35
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.105 85.9 1.7% 4.5% vs RHP 383 5.0% 0.0% 6.9% 42
🏟️
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