CHC
@
6:45p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 6:45p
· roof retractable
Park 1.11×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
55°F
retractable
+8
5 mph · out
70°F
6:45p
Boost for HR environment
+8
5 mph · out
67°F
7:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
63°F
8:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
60°F
9:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
5 mph · out
59°F
10:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
55°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 79 | 🟡 B | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.273 | 92.6 | 12.0% | 37.5% vs RHP | 399 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 34.4% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio ⚡ | 74 | 🟡 B | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.233 | 92.3 | 12.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 30.3% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 59 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.153 | 92.3 | 12.2% | 23.8% vs RHP | 422 | 7.0% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 59 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 42 | 0.196 | 91.0 | 10.2% | 27.5% vs RHP | 406 | 10.7% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.149 | 90.5 | 9.1% | 18.4% vs RHP | 418 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 48 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.134 | 88.2 | 8.6% | 14.3% vs RHP | 399 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 39 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 137 | 0.098 | 86.3 | 6.9% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.093 | 85.9 | 4.8% | 6.5% vs RHP | 402 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 34 | 0.230 | 91.5 | 5.4% | 22.4% vs RHP | 393 | 19.8% | 42.9% | 26.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.241 | 90.0 | 5.8% | 27.1% vs RHP | 403 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 17.3% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 47 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.174 | 89.2 | 4.1% | 15.9% vs RHP | 394 | 13.9% | 28.6% | 18.4% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 110 | 0.158 | 88.3 | 5.3% | 14.8% vs RHP | 400 | 12.2% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 40 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.167 | 89.5 | 4.6% | 23.5% vs RHP | 409 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 170 | 0.116 | 88.5 | 4.2% | 5.3% vs RHP | 421 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 33 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.128 | 87.8 | 3.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 395 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.105 | 85.9 | 1.7% | 4.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 42 |