MIA
@
6:15p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 6:15p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 2 mph in
74°F
open
-7
4 mph · in
83°F
6:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
3 mph · in
83°F
7:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · cross
82°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
5 mph · cross
81°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
6 mph · slight_out
79°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
74°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 44 | 0.235 | 93.9 | 12.5% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 78 | 0.201 | 91.8 | 11.0% | 23.1% vs RHP | 405 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.166 | 89.9 | 9.0% | 19.4% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.141 | 85.9 | 10.2% | 22.7% vs RHP | 387 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.149 | 90.0 | 9.0% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pages ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.134 | 87.0 | 8.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 202 | 0.091 | 87.6 | 6.2% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 35 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.192 | 91.5 | 9.8% | 26.5% vs RHP | 391 | 13.2% | 33.3% | 20.1% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.203 | 90.8 | 8.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 9.3% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Heriberto Hernández | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 142 | 0.181 | 91.8 | 7.8% | 19.1% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.140 | 89.9 | 6.7% | 11.1% vs RHP | 404 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 192 | 0.134 | 87.0 | 5.7% | 4.7% vs RHP | 396 | 6.4% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.100 | 86.6 | 4.7% | 7.7% vs RHP | 379 | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 215 | 0.104 | 87.0 | 2.9% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 27 |