LAD
@
5:40p
SD
Stadium Conditions
Petco Park
First pitch 5:40p
· roof open
Park 0.89×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
64°F
open
-12
11 mph · in
71°F
5:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
69°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-14
11 mph · in
66°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
10 mph · in
65°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-12
9 mph · in
65°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
64°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 73 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.252 | 93.9 | 15.2% | 26.1% vs RHP | 404 | 18.4% | 36.4% | 24.7% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 70 | 🟡 B | +330 | ❄ COLD | 9 | 0.240 | 90.4 | 14.3% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 19.5% | 35.7% | 24.8% | 50 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 59 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 36 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 12.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Mookie Betts | 55 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 53 | 0.179 | 90.0 | 10.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 386 | 12.8% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 52 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 67 | 0.202 | 89.4 | 10.6% | 25.5% vs RHP | 390 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 38 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.134 | 88.9 | 8.3% | 10.4% vs RHP | 400 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.111 | 89.6 | 9.0% | 10.3% vs RHP | 373 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 21 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ty France | 55 | 🟠 C | +700 | · | 54 | 0.219 | 91.2 | 8.6% | 35.0% vs RHP | 396 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 26.7% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 48 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.221 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 32.5% vs RHP | 394 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 24.4% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 48 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.190 | 90.0 | 7.6% | 28.9% vs RHP | 399 | 17.6% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 37 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 149 | 0.140 | 90.2 | 8.0% | 12.5% vs RHP | 407 | 11.0% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.153 | 87.9 | 5.2% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.109 | 88.1 | 6.3% | 18.9% vs RHP | 395 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 210 | 0.110 | 86.4 | 4.3% | 4.2% vs RHP | 382 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 3 |