2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
ATH
@ 6:38p
LAA
Angel Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Angel Stadium

First pitch 6:38p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 5 mph in 64°F open
-12
12 mph · in
73°F
6:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-11
11 mph · in
70°F
7:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
10 mph · in
68°F
8:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
10 mph · in
67°F
9:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
66°F
10:38p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99

64°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers LHP
0.65 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.68 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 63 🔵 C+ +350 🌤️ WARM 24 0.248 94.4 11.1% 27.3% vs LHP 410 22.1% 15.4% 24.9% 28
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 58 🟠 C +350 · 41 0.247 91.4 9.9% 36.4% vs LHP 416 20.5% 9.1% 17.7% 35
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 52 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 65 0.229 89.9 8.2% 30.0% vs LHP 403 14.5% 15.4% 15.1% 38
4 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.155 89.7 7.4% 12.8% 404 5.3% 0.0% 7.8% 16
5 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.121 88.5 7.0% 17.6% 402 4.5% 8.3% 7.1% 22
6 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 26 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 204 0.105 84.2 3.4% 7.1% vs LHP 375 5.1% 9.1% 6.7% 33
7 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.080 86.2 2.6% 0.0% vs LHP 373 5.9% 10.0% 5.3% 30
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins RHP
1.17 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.10 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 62 🔵 C+ +320 🌤️ WARM 25 0.225 90.2 9.1% 23.2% vs RHP 403 19.7% 33.3% 25.4% 31
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 59 🟠 C +350 🌤️ WARM 35 0.221 88.1 8.5% 39.3% vs RHP 398 16.4% 50.0% 21.5% 7
3 Jo Adell Jo Adell 40 ⚪ D +350 🌧️ COOL 127 0.134 90.3 7.2% 10.0% vs RHP 415 11.8% 8.3% 7.5% 40
4 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 39 ⚪ D · · 136 0.152 87.3 7.3% 11.1% vs RHP 386 8.8% 0.0% 8.7% 16
5 Vaughn Grissom Vaughn Grissom 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 144 0.144 89.6 6.4% 16.7% vs RHP 396 10.0% 0.0% 8.9% 16
6 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 37 ⚪ D +500 ❄ COLD 151 0.119 86.7 8.3% 14.3% vs RHP 408 4.5% 10.0% 7.9% 24
7 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 36 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 156 0.120 89.0 7.0% 16.1% vs RHP 384 9.1% 0.0% 10.6% 4
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 35 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 166 0.128 87.4 3.9% 15.4% vs RHP 372 9.2% 16.7% 9.5% 36
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.21 · build 521

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.