HOU
@
1:10p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 0.96×
Wind 4 mph cross
59°F
open
-6
8 mph · cross
69°F
1:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
8 mph · cross
71°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
8 mph · cross
74°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
8 mph · cross
76°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
8 mph · cross
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.87
59°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 71 | 🟡 B | +400 | · | 8 | 0.301 | 90.9 | 9.7% | 32.0% vs RHP | 397 | 22.1% | 23.1% | 28.5% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 59 | 🟠 C | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 39 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 8.2% | 24.4% vs RHP | 373 | 16.1% | 20.0% | 29.6% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 52 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.190 | 90.1 | 9.9% | 22.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 46 | ⚪ D | +350 | · | 97 | 0.152 | 91.7 | 9.6% | 13.5% vs RHP | 393 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.141 | 87.4 | 6.6% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 131 | 0.112 | 88.7 | 7.4% | 9.1% vs RHP | 380 | 4.4% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 37 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 148 | 0.137 | 88.0 | 7.6% | 6.5% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 25 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.082 | 84.8 | 4.1% | 5.7% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +280 | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.303 | 94.3 | 11.2% | 32.0% vs LHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 56 | 🟠 C | +370 | ❄ COLD | 48 | 0.237 | 90.1 | 8.4% | 25.0% vs LHP | 390 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 42 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 117 | 0.139 | 89.6 | 9.0% | 13.3% vs LHP | 418 | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 40 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.160 | 86.8 | 5.4% | 12.5% vs LHP | 388 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.132 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 40.0% vs LHP | 410 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 40 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.162 | 87.1 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 367 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 36 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 161 | 0.153 | 85.9 | 6.9% | 14.3% vs LHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.113 | 85.8 | 3.2% | 11.1% vs LHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 13 |