NYY
@
1:10p
BOS
Stadium Conditions
Fenway Park
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
64°F
open
-7
7 mph · in
79°F
1:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
8 mph · in
80°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
9 mph · in
80°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
79°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
11 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
65°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 11 | 0.304 | 91.6 | 9.6% | 45.5% vs LHP | 390 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 28.0% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 21 | 0.263 | 87.0 | 8.9% | 42.1% vs LHP | 391 | 20.0% | 41.7% | 28.8% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 42 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.184 | 89.1 | 7.0% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 12.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Caballero | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 185 | 0.145 | 84.1 | 4.7% | 30.0% vs LHP | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Wells | 28 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.091 | 89.2 | 6.4% | 9.1% vs LHP | 377 | 7.8% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 9 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 28 | 0.226 | 90.1 | 10.2% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 19.7% | 15.4% | 29.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | · | 71 | 0.170 | 89.7 | 9.6% | 13.0% vs RHP | 402 | 13.2% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.160 | 89.6 | 9.4% | 36.7% vs RHP | 396 | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 42 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.173 | 86.4 | 6.7% | 15.4% vs RHP | 370 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 41 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.148 | 84.9 | 5.0% | 17.4% vs RHP | 381 | 6.9% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 33 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.087 | 91.4 | 8.1% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Masataka Yoshida ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.093 | 88.2 | 3.5% | 3.3% vs RHP | 393 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 18 |