2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
CIN
@ 4:05p
PIT
PNC Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 4:05p · roof open
Park 0.76× Wind 1 mph cross 65°F open
-10
3 mph · in
70°F
4:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
2 mph · in
72°F
5:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
2 mph · in
74°F
6:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
76°F
7:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
77°F
8:05p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.76

65°F, wind 1 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Chase Burns
Chase Burns RHP
1.11 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 56 🟠 C +400 · 47 0.261 90.6 10.5% 24.6% vs RHP 391 17.4% 16.7% 16.0% 38
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 48 ⚪ D +525 🔥 HOT 88 0.192 91.4 9.8% 16.2% vs RHP 410 13.3% 25.0% 18.0% 35
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 38 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 139 0.172 89.5 7.3% 19.5% vs RHP 378 15.7% 8.3% 10.0% 38
4 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 38 ⚪ D +750 🔥 HOT 146 0.130 87.3 8.6% 22.2% vs RHP 393 7.7% 100.0% 7.4% 4
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 35 ⚪ D +575 🔥 HOT 168 0.110 89.5 8.6% 14.8% vs RHP 414 9.4% 28.6% 9.1% 10
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 21 ⚪ D +950 · 216 0.079 85.9 5.3% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.2% 9.1% 5.0% 35
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 223 0.055 83.3 3.6% 8.3% vs RHP 410 2.6% 0.0% 6.5% 37
Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.04 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 55 🟠 C +425 ❄ COLD 49 0.280 89.7 9.2% 32.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 33.0% 24
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 55 🟠 C +400 🌤️ WARM 51 0.231 94.4 10.8% 19.4% vs RHP 394 15.3% 0.0% 16.1% 8
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 54 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 56 0.201 89.5 10.5% 17.8% vs RHP 394 13.3% 30.0% 12.4% 23
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 50 🟠 C +525 ❄ COLD 77 0.216 88.8 9.6% 32.1% vs RHP 398 15.2% 0.0% 17.2% 18
5 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 48 ⚪ D +475 · 86 0.196 90.7 10.9% 18.4% vs RHP 395 9.2% 8.3% 7.2% 32
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 40 ⚪ D +700 · 125 0.141 90.8 9.2% 16.2% vs RHP 384 7.8% 12.5% 5.4% 19
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 36 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 154 0.154 88.9 8.9% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 15
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 35 ⚪ D +500 · 164 0.153 87.0 7.8% 23.8% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 22
🏟️
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