CIN
@
4:05p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 4:05p
· roof open
Park 0.76×
Wind 1 mph cross
65°F
open
-10
3 mph · in
70°F
4:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
2 mph · in
72°F
5:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
2 mph · in
74°F
6:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
76°F
7:05p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
77°F
8:05p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.76
65°F, wind 1 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 56 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 47 | 0.261 | 90.6 | 10.5% | 24.6% vs RHP | 391 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 48 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🔥 HOT | 88 | 0.192 | 91.4 | 9.8% | 16.2% vs RHP | 410 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 38 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.172 | 89.5 | 7.3% | 19.5% vs RHP | 378 | 15.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🔥 HOT | 146 | 0.130 | 87.3 | 8.6% | 22.2% vs RHP | 393 | 7.7% | 100.0% | 7.4% | 4 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 35 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 168 | 0.110 | 89.5 | 8.6% | 14.8% vs RHP | 414 | 9.4% | 28.6% | 9.1% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 21 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 216 | 0.079 | 85.9 | 5.3% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.055 | 83.3 | 3.6% | 8.3% vs RHP | 410 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 37 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 55 | 🟠 C | +425 | ❄ COLD | 49 | 0.280 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 32.3% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.231 | 94.4 | 10.8% | 19.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.3% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 8 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 54 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.201 | 89.5 | 10.5% | 17.8% vs RHP | 394 | 13.3% | 30.0% | 12.4% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.216 | 88.8 | 9.6% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 15.2% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Sal Stewart ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 86 | 0.196 | 90.7 | 10.9% | 18.4% vs RHP | 395 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 125 | 0.141 | 90.8 | 9.2% | 16.2% vs RHP | 384 | 7.8% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 36 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.154 | 88.9 | 8.9% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 164 | 0.153 | 87.0 | 7.8% | 23.8% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 22 |