PHI
@
4:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 4:10p
· roof open
Park 1.04×
Wind 3 mph cross
73°F
open
+8
7 mph · out
73°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+8
8 mph · out
73°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
8 mph · out
72°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
8 mph · out
72°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
8 mph · out
71°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04
73°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 75 | 🟡 B | +225 | · | 3 | 0.339 | 93.4 | 10.8% | 46.3% vs RHP | 404 | 27.0% | 25.0% | 37.4% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | · | 18 | 0.251 | 90.2 | 8.4% | 40.0% vs RHP | 401 | 20.8% | 23.1% | 32.9% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 54 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 7.0% | 23.7% vs RHP | 394 | 13.5% | 30.8% | 23.6% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 43 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.159 | 89.4 | 6.4% | 11.5% vs RHP | 393 | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.130 | 89.7 | 5.0% | 17.2% vs RHP | 385 | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 33 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.102 | 88.6 | 5.0% | 13.6% vs RHP | 394 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto | 32 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.119 | · | 5.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 200 | 0.099 | 86.7 | 2.5% | 7.1% vs RHP | 382 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 25 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 59 | 🟠 C | +265 | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.261 | 93.3 | 7.8% | 32.5% vs RHP | 399 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.184 | 89.3 | 6.6% | 18.8% vs RHP | 410 | 13.3% | 33.3% | 19.1% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 43 | ⚪ D | +370 | · | 106 | 0.175 | 90.5 | 8.5% | 24.0% vs RHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.3% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Bo Bichette | 40 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 124 | 0.135 | 90.7 | 5.7% | 11.8% vs RHP | 385 | 11.2% | 21.4% | 7.5% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.138 | 90.1 | 6.1% | 14.3% vs RHP | 399 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
A.J. Ewing | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.130 | · | 5.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 28 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.083 | 88.8 | 5.6% | 8.8% vs RHP | 415 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Torrens | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.088 | 88.1 | 4.0% | 7.1% vs RHP | 413 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 15 |