7
HRs allowed
26.9%
HR rate (pool)
11.8%
Overall HR/FB
3.44
FIP
4.2
xFIP
-0.76
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
41
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 41th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
26.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.6 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 112.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Alan Rangel.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
36.0%
84.2
29.2°
2
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
34.9%
77.2
8.9°
2
+1.5
Slider Breaking
17.0%
72.4
25.5°
0
-1.5
Curveball Breaking
12.2%
75.4
13.9°
0
+3.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups26
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate26.9%
Pool HR/game day2.33
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB11.8% 41
HR/9—
FIP3.44 27
xFIP4.2
FIP − xFIP-0.76 9
Barrel% allowed26.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-11
Fastball
Hard · 36.0% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches157
Changeup
Offspeed · 34.9% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.2 mph
Avg launch angle8.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches152
Slider
Breaking · 17.0% usage
-1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against72.4 mph
Avg launch angle25.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches74
Curveball
Breaking · 12.2% usage
+3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.4 mph
Avg launch angle13.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches53
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Alan Rangel.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.6 EV · 386 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-19
8
1
109.0
2026-07-08
9
4
107.1
2026-07-02
9
2
112.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Alan Rangel isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Alan Rangel isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
9
4
44%
17
3
18%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Alan Rangel
How many home runs has Alan Rangel allowed this season?
Alan Rangel has allowed 7 home runs across 3 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Alan Rangel?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Alan Rangel include Elly De La Cruz (1), Endy Rodríguez (1), Francisco Lindor (1) and 4 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.