Today · 2026-07-27

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 James Wood vs Max Scherzer FIP 8.91 HR/FB 33.3% #2 Cj Abrams vs Max Scherzer FIP 8.91 HR/FB 33.3%

📦 STACK Max Scherzer FIP 8.91 HR/FB 33.3% → #1 James Wood, #2 Cj Abrams

📦 STACK Jack Perkins FIP 4.48 HR/FB 16.7% → #4 Willson Contreras, #13 Wilyer Abreu

📦 STACK Slade Cecconi FIP 4.54 HR/FB 14.8% → #5 Elly De La Cruz, #6 Sal Stewart, #8 Nathaniel Lowe, #11 Eugenio Suarez, #12 Jj Bleday

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-26. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L) ²	79	-10.3	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.84 IP856.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Cj Abrams (L) ³	73	-5.8	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.84 IP856.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L) ⁵	70	-9.5	●	Noah Schultz (LHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffTim Mayza Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance417 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●●○○●	0.0×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.06 FIP4.17 IP892.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Willson Contreras (R) ³	69	-8.1	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.58 FIP5.06 IP931.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+62 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Elly De La Cruz (L) ⁴	67	-8.7	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKyle Leahy Exit Velo105.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance410 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	●○○○●	0.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Sal Stewart (R) ³	64	-7.8	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffEduard Bazardo Exit Velo103.5 mph Angle27.0° Distance369 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○●○○	0.3×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Nick Kurtz (L) ²	64	-12.2	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffCole Sands Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance412 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.77 IP902.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+55 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Nathaniel Lowe (L) ⁴	63	-4.7	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Rucker Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance362 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Kazuma Okamoto (R)	66	-3.8	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffGreg Weissert Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle29.0° Distance408 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○●○○	1.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.40 FIP4.72 IP908.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	62	-16.9	●	Tyler Phillips (RHP) PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	2.3×	1	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.04 FIP4.11 IP932.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+1 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp86°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Wilyer Abreu (L) ²	60	-9.9	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffGarrett Cleavinger Exit Velo103.7 mph Angle28.0° Distance412 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.58 FIP5.06 IP931.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+55 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Matt Olson (L)	60	-9.0	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffAndrew Kittredge Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○●○○	0.5×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.12 FIP4.10 IP959.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Tyler Soderstrom (L) ²	59	-7.2	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffZack Littell Exit Velo100.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance406 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.77 IP902.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+52 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Dylan Crews (R) ³	59	-2.1	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	8	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo103.2 mph Angle24.0° Distance405 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○●○○	0.7×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.84 IP856.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Rafael Devers (L) ³	59	-5.4	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-25 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo105.8 mph Angle22.0° Distance401 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.98 FIP3.55 IP896.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	57	-17.2	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffSandy Alcantara Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	1.5×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.12 FIP4.39 IP917.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Jj Bleday (L) ⁶	57	-11.6	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	○○○○	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Drake Baldwin (L)	57	-6.4	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffRico Garcia Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●●○○	1.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.12 FIP4.10 IP959.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Mike Trout (R)	57	-9.8	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	19d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRobby Ahlstrom Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance438 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○○○	3.2×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.83 IP925.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Rhys Hoskins (R) ²	56	·	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJoe Ryan Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle31.0° Distance398 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○●○○○	0.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.35 FIP4.87 IP882.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Casey Schmitt (R) ³	56	-2.3	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffGrayson Rodriguez Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance412 ft StadiumOracle Park	○●●○○	0.5×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.98 FIP3.55 IP896.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+53 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ³	55	-6.9	●	Noah Schultz (LHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffJesús Luzardo Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle26.0° Distance371 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.06 FIP4.17 IP892.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
23	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	55	-3.2	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffAaron Civale Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance392 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○○	1.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.12 IP909.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-10 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph S (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Eugenio Suarez (R) ⁴	54	-11.5	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Brandon Lowe (L) ⁴	54	-11.5	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffBrad Lord Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance396 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.6×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.22 FIP4.46 IP901.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Bryce Eldridge (L) ³	54	-3.4	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffLogan Gilbert Exit Velo107.0 mph Angle23.0° Distance407 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.98 FIP3.55 IP896.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+49 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Daylen Lile (L) ³	54	-3.4	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffCarlos Cortes Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	0.4×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.84 IP856.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Tyler Stephenson (R)	53	-6.1	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	8	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffTanner Gordon Exit Velo101.6 mph Angle31.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	0.6×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.96 IP929.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	53	-8.3	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) SEA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffCole Winn Exit Velo111.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance400 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.25 FIP4.13 IP898.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp98°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note98°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Zach Neto (R)	53	-7.4	●	Tatsuya Imai (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffAroldis Chapman Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance396 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○○○○○	3.8×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.83 IP925.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.8%

▼ -2.5 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.2% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-26

32 HRs

40%

13 caught / 32 HRs

in top 50

#1 Esmerlyn Valdez

30.2%

🟡

#3 Ben Rice

19.6%

🔵

#6 James Wood

15.7%

🔵

#9 Munetaka Murakami

16.9%

🔵

#11 CJ Abrams

21.4%

🔵

#14 Pete Alonso

21.2%

🔵

#24 Ketel Marte

13.7%

🟠

#28 Miguel Vargas

13.6%

🟠

#29 Nick Kurtz

17.0%

🟠

#33 Elly De La Cruz

17.5%

🟠

#38 Manny Machado

24.6%

🟠

#41 Tyrone Taylor

23.8%

🟠

#45 Dominic Canzone

17.5%

🟠

Missed

Andrew Vaughn Ryan O'Hearn Bryson Stott Seiya Suzuki Jackson Merrill +14 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Ben Rice ×3 Manny Machado ×3 Cj Abrams ×2 CJ Abrams ×2 Dillon Dingler ×2

❄️ Cold

Willson Contreras 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Jordan Walker 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d Kody Clemens 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 19.9%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-27

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.