Today · 2026-07-26

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#7 Byron Buxton vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.13 HR/FB 26.2%

📦 STACK Will Warren FIP 4.15 HR/FB 19.1% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #12 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Shane Baz FIP 3.51 HR/FB 8.8% → #3 Matt Olson, #5 Drake Baldwin

📦 STACK Kohl Drake FIP 2.95 → #4 James Wood, #10 Cj Abrams

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	71	-16.8	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	2.0×	1	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.02 FIP3.77 IP902.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Ben Rice (L) ²	68	-2.8	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffCarmen Mlodzinski Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance394 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●●○○	1.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.25 FIP3.84 IP898.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Matt Olson (L) ³	67	-11.3	●	Shane Baz (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffAndrew Kittredge Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP900.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	James Wood (L)	66	-9.0	●	Kohl Drake (LHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffWill Warren Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle26.0° Distance434 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	4.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.22 FIP4.44 IP895.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note81°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Drake Baldwin (L) ²	64	-9.6	●	Shane Baz (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffRico Garcia Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○●●○	0.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP900.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Byron Buxton (R) ³	63	-18.6	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	34d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	6.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.60 FIP5.08 IP923.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Target Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Munetaka Murakami (L)	65	-13.6	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	60d Last HR · 2026-05-27 OffConnor Prielipp Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle24.0° Distance432 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○○	4.3×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.86 IP914.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Corbin Carroll (L) ⁵	61	-11.2	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffGage Jump Exit Velo100.0 mph Angle35.0° Distance375 ft StadiumChase Field	○●○○○	0.6×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.41 FIP4.73 IP901.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note81°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Hunter Goodman (R) ²	61	-8.7	●	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	31	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo95.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.99 FIP3.57 IP888.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · American Family Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Bryce Harper (L) ³	61	-8.7	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffLandon Knack Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle25.0° Distance407 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	0.8×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.02 FIP3.77 IP902.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pete Alonso (R) ²	61	-13.1	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance420 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	2.2×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.21 IP890.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Willson Contreras (R) ³	60	-5.6	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) TOR @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.2×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.07 FIP3.85 IP842.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph E Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph E (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁴	59	-20.4	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffSandy Alcantara Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●○●○○	1.0×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.07 FIP4.20 IP882.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR NoteUnknown stadium
14	Max Muncy (L) ²	59	-7.7	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) LAD @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance415 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.12 FIP4.11 IP950.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Ty France (R) ⁴	58	-1.7	●	Janson Junk (RHP) SD @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-23 OffTyler Kinley Exit Velo108.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance395 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	1.0×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.11 IP924.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp91°F Wind11 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note91°F, wind 11 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Kody Clemens (L) ³	58	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffCaleb Thielbar Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle37.0° Distance391 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.60 FIP5.08 IP923.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-26 Weather · Target Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	58	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle22.0° Distance375 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.48 FIP4.91 IP896.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · American Family Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	58	-9.0	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffPaul Sewald Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle32.0° Distance410 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	7.5×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.48 FIP4.91 IP896.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · American Family Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Paul Goldschmidt (R)	57	-3.4	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffJesús Luzardo Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle26.0° Distance371 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.25 FIP3.84 IP898.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+26 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	57	-10.7	●	Parker Messick (LHP) CLE @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffEduardo Rivera Exit Velo111.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance423 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	4.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.98 IP921.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Shohei Ohtani (L) ²	56	-17.0	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) LAD @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffMitch Bratt Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance437 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	2.7×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.12 FIP4.11 IP950.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Joc Pederson (L) ³	55	-9.8	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffErick Fedde Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle36.0° Distance423 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	●○●○○	1.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.00 FIP3.63 IP897.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+17 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note90°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Brandon Lowe (L) ⁵	55	-12.8	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) CHC @ PIT · PNC Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	21d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffBrad Lord Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance396 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.4×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.3% HR/91.52 FIP4.71 IP865.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+23 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁵	55	-3.9	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffAaron Civale Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance392 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●●○○○	0.8×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.39 FIP4.83 IP901.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+31 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Rafael Devers (L) ²	55	-5.6	●	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ SF · Oracle Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-25 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo105.8 mph Angle22.0° Distance401 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○○●●	0.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.37 IP910.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+83 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind12 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+83 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note69°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Miguel Vargas (R)	58	-10.4	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	16d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffCarlos Cortes Exit Velo101.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance384 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○○	2.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.86 IP914.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR NoteUnknown stadium
27	Ketel Marte (S) ²	54	-12.4	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJeffrey Springs Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle32.0° Distance402 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○○○	0.8×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.41 FIP4.73 IP901.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note81°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Nick Kurtz ²	54	-11.5	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	23d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo112.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance457 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP927.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · Target Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Brice Turang (L) ⁵	54	-1.6	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-24 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo108.6 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○●○	0.1×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.48 FIP4.91 IP896.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · American Family Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Brandon Marsh (L) ⁴	54	-3.4	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffEmmet Sheehan Exit Velo100.7 mph Angle25.0° Distance396 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●○○	0.4×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.02 FIP3.77 IP902.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.2%

▼ -1.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.2% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-25

14 HRs

21%

3 caught / 14 HRs

in top 50

#8 CJ Abrams

27.1%

🔵

#29 Rafael Devers

26.1%

🟠

#46 Gunnar Henderson

14.3%

🟠

Missed

Ozzie Albies Pete Crow-Armstrong Jasson Domínguez Cooper Pratt George Springer +6 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Drake Baldwin ×3 Ben Rice ×2 CJ Abrams ×2 Cj Abrams ×2 Dillon Dingler ×2

❄️ Cold

Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 7d Jordan Walker 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-26

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.