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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-04-08

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
243 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-04-08
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
📦 STACK Dylan Cease FIP 3.56 HR/FB 11.9% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #12 Teoscar Hernandez
📦 STACK Luis Severino FIP 4.11 HR/FB 8.4% → #2 Aaron Judge, #10 Ben Rice
📦 STACK Will Warren FIP 4.07 HR/FB 13.0% → #3 Shea Langeliers, #7 Brent Rooker, #11 Nick Kurtz, #14 Max Muncy
📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.4 HR/FB 14.8% → #4 Mike Trout, #5 Zach Neto, #15 Jo Adell
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 80 · Will Warren (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.80 IP433.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
2
·Aaron Judge (R) 4
79 · Luis Severino (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
3
·Shohei Ohtani (L) 4
77 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
LAD @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
4
·Ben Rice (L) 4
76 · Luis Severino (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
5
·Nick Kurtz (L) 3
75 · Will Warren (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.80 IP433.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
6
·Mike Trout (R) 2
73 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
7
·Max Muncy (S) 5
72 · Will Warren (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🟡 B
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.80 IP433.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
8 70 · Bailey Ober (RHP)
DET @ MIN · Target Field
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB7.6% HR/90.80 FIP3.81 IP259.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp39.9°F Wind12.9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note40°F, wind 13 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -6
9 69 · Will Warren (RHP)
ATH @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.80 IP433.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp33.3°F Wind10.9 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note33°F, wind 11 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -3
10 69 · Michael Lorenzen (RHP)
HOU @ COL · Coors Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp48.9°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note49°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
11
·Mickey Moniak (L) 2
69 · Cristian Javier (RHP)
HOU @ COL · Coors Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.2×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB10.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.41 IP402.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp48.9°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note49°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
12
·Zach Neto (R) 2
68 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
10
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
13 68 · Tyler Mahle (RHP)
PHI @ SF · Oracle Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.7% HR/90.88 FIP3.87 IP399.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Oracle Park
Weather · Oracle Park
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind5.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: -2
14 67 · Colin Rea (RHP)
CHC @ TB · Tropicana Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15
·Max Muncy (S) 5
67 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
LAD @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16 67 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
LAD @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
17
·Drake Baldwin (L) 4
66 · Reid Detmers (LHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.1% HR/91.47 FIP4.65 IP486.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
18
·Ian Happ (S) 4
65 · Joe Boyle (RHP)
CHC @ TB · Tropicana Field
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.23 FIP3.83 IP458.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
19
·Matt Wallner (L) 2
63 · Framber Valdez (LHP)
DET @ MIN · Target Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
4.0×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB11.4% HR/90.99 FIP4.05 IP433.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp39.9°F Wind12.9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note40°F, wind 13 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -6
20
·Jo Adell (R) 2
63 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
21 63 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
22 61 · Colin Rea (RHP)
CHC @ TB · Tropicana Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
23 61 · Sean Burke (RHP)
BAL @ CWS · Rate Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB10.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.33 IP519.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
24
·Cam Smith (R) 3
61 · Michael Lorenzen (RHP)
HOU @ COL · Coors Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV87.9 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp48.9°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note49°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
25
Jorge Soler (R) 3
60 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ LAA · Angel Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.2×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.3°F Wind3.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
Jorge Soler — Home Run
OffGrant Holmes Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance402 ft StadiumAngel Stadium
26 60 · Eury Pérez (RHP)
CIN @ MIA · loanDepot Park
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB12.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.46 IP584.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
27
·Andy Pages (R) 3
60 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
LAD @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
28 60 · Shohei Ohtani (RHP)
LAD @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.0% HR/91.14 FIP3.98 IP557.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29 60 · Eury Pérez (RHP)
CIN @ MIA · loanDepot Park
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB12.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.46 IP584.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
30 60 · Michael Lorenzen (RHP)
HOU @ COL · Coors Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV85.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.1×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp48.9°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note49°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
🔥

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Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
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S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 19.9%
C+ 15.3%
C 12.2%
D 7.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.88

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