SD
@
—
PIT
Park Factor
0.72×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.504
Temp
35.6°F
Wind
5.5 mph
cross
Roof
open
Michael King
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 14.3% | 17.7% | 410 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 15.1% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 400 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 117 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 9.7% | 9.6% | 393 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Tommy Pham | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 8.7% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 197 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 9.7% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 10.9% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 222 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 8.4% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.5% | 29 |
Mitch Keller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 10.1% | 11.9% | 391 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.1% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 9.2% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 150 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 10.0% | 13.1% | 396 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 7.3% | 7.8% | 389 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 8.6% | 11.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Elias Diaz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.133 | 88.4 | 7.6% | 10.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 7.0% | 9.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Iglesias | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 239 | 0.065 | 84.0 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arraez | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 240 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 2.9% | 4.4% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 46 |