STL
@
—
WSH
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.658
Temp
39.6°F
Wind
6.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 36 | 0.190 | 90.6 | 13.3% | 15.2% | 407 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 78 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 11.0% | 10.2% | 408 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 82 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 10.6% | 6.9% | 387 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.2% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 10.8% | 12.7% | 409 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 123 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 11.8% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | 0.128 | 91.3 | 11.4% | 7.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 231 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 6.9% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 29 |