ATH
@
—
NYY
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.798
Temp
33.3°F
Wind
10.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Will Warren
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.260 | 90.9 | 11.0% | 18.6% | 399 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 33.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.329 | 92.7 | 14.1% | 30.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.6% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.227 | 91.3 | 12.1% | 16.8% | 400 | 17.6% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 46 |
| 4 |
|
Brent Rooker | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.217 | 90.7 | 12.2% | 15.2% | 402 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 26.8% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 53 | 0.198 | 91.6 | 11.1% | 18.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Bleday | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 65 | 0.192 | 88.7 | 9.2% | 13.7% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.170 | 90.5 | 10.0% | 16.3% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Urias | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.108 | 86.2 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 3 |
| 9 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.134 | 84.6 | 4.9% | 10.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 36 |
Luis Severino
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.357 | 95.4 | 12.2% | 29.4% | 408 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 33.9% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 4 | 0.244 | 93.3 | 9.6% | 17.1% | 400 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.207 | 88.3 | 6.7% | 11.9% | 386 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Trent Grisham | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 47 | 0.229 | 91.1 | 9.2% | 21.5% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Wells | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.217 | 90.6 | 7.8% | 14.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 17 |
| 6 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.238 | 89.0 | 9.5% | 20.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 27 | |
| 7 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.180 | 89.3 | 7.9% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.129 | 90.4 | 6.9% | 6.5% | 388 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
Jasson Dominguez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 149 | 0.131 | 90.6 | 6.5% | 9.7% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0 |