CHC
@
—
TB
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.271 | 92.4 | 12.0% | 24.5% | 392 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 21.9% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 11.5% | 14.7% | 398 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 59 | 0.221 | 91.1 | 11.5% | 22.0% | 400 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 25.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Yandy Diaz | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.182 | 93.0 | 9.2% | 18.2% | 379 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 12.5% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Christopher Morel | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.176 | 91.8 | 12.3% | 14.5% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Lowe | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 116 | 0.146 | 88.6 | 7.8% | 12.9% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Walls | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.099 | 87.0 | 5.7% | 4.8% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Mangum | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 237 | 0.072 | 87.3 | 5.2% | 4.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.051 | 84.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 40 |
Joe Boyle
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 18 | 0.178 | 90.0 | 10.3% | 13.3% | 393 | 45.5% | 45.5% | 16.1% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 40 | 0.233 | 91.3 | 13.0% | 16.5% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.3% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.173 | 90.5 | 10.9% | 15.5% | 403 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Shaw | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.168 | 84.9 | 8.4% | 10.8% | 387 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 11.7% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.261 | 92.2 | 13.2% | 20.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 66 | 0.234 | 89.5 | 11.5% | 14.2% | 395 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Carson Kelly | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 9.9% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.198 | 90.1 | 10.5% | 11.8% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 230 | 0.097 | 86.7 | 4.8% | 3.7% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.7% | 32 |