Joe Boyle
RHP
TB
1
HRs Allowed
5.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
5.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
17
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
5.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 91.3mph | 97.3mph | 24.0° | 369ft | Up +5.2pp |
| Last 15 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 91.8mph | 97.3mph | 24.0° | 369ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 91.8mph | 97.3mph | 24.0° | 369ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
91.8
Avg Max EV
108.4
Max EV Allowed
10
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
97.3
Avg HR EV
24.0°
Avg HR Launch
369
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Carson Kelly | 108.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Nico Hoerner | 97.3mph | 97.3mph | 24° | 369ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-28 | Iván Herrera | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jordan Walker | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Alec Burleson | 103.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ramón Urías | 102.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Masyn Winn | 101.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Nico Hoerner | #229 | 23 | Tropicana Field | 97.3mph | 24.0° | 369.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 90 | 34.2% | -1.8 | 78.2 | 34.4° | 0 |
| Fastball | 55 | 20.9% | -0.7 | 85.7 | 28.1° | 0 |
| Sinker | 51 | 19.4% | +0.4 | 79.6 | 6.1° | 0 |
| Splitter | 40 | 15.2% | +0.6 | 83.5 | -8.7° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 27 | 10.3% | +2.2 | 79.8 | 36.7° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Nico Hoerner | #229 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-08 | Carson Kelly | #114 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Kyle Tucker | #107 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Dansby Swanson | #106 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Matt Shaw | #87 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #68 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ian Happ | #51 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Michael Busch | #45 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Seiya Suzuki | #37 | 52 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Victor Scott II | #229 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Masyn Winn | #218 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jordan Walker | #211 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nathan Church | #173 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Alec Burleson | #169 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ramón Urías | #166 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nolan Gorman | #139 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Iván Herrera | #74 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |