1
HRs allowed
5.9%
HR rate (pool)
10.5%
Overall HR/FB
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
29
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 29th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
17.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed
66.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 97.3 EV · 369 ft
max EV allowed 108.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Joe Boyle.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slider Breaking
32.3%
79.2
25.2°
0
-0.3
Fastball Hard
22.4%
82.4
30.8°
0
-1.1
Sinker Hard
18.3%
80.9
10.8°
0
-0.8
Splitter Offspeed
14.5%
82.2
-10.2°
0
+0.2
Sweeper Breaking
12.5%
76.1
40.6°
1
-0.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups17
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate5.9%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.5% 29
HR/9—
FIP—
xFIP—
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed17.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed66.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Slider
Breaking · 32.3% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.2 mph
Avg launch angle25.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches111
Fastball
Hard · 22.4% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle30.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches77
Sinker
Hard · 18.3% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches63
Splitter
Offspeed · 14.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle-10.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Sweeper
Breaking · 12.5% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.1 mph
Avg launch angle40.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches43
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Joe Boyle.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 97.3 EV · 369 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-08
9
1
108.4
2026-03-28
8
0
106.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Joe Boyle isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Joe Boyle isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
9
1
11%
8
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Joe Boyle
How many home runs has Joe Boyle allowed this season?
Joe Boyle has allowed 1 home run across 2 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Joe Boyle?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Joe Boyle include Alejandro Kirk (1), Anthony Volpe (1), Cal Raleigh (1) and 5 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.