⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CIN
@
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.090
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.191 90.5 11.4% 18.3% 387 10.0% 10.0% 21.2% 18
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 29 0.176 91.0 9.6% 15.7% 405 20.0% 20.0% 18.1% 30
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.173 87.3 8.3% 12.1% 388 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 24
4 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 75 0.186 88.5 9.0% 15.4% 406 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 9
5 Austin Hays Austin Hays 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 81 0.187 88.8 9.7% 14.7% 396 10.0% 10.0% 11.1% 20
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.124 88.8 8.3% 9.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 29
7 Gavin Lux Gavin Lux 32 ⚪ D · · 189 0.105 88.3 5.7% 5.3% 370 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 0
8 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.117 87.1 4.9% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 26
9 Santiago Espinal Santiago Espinal 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 236 0.040 86.5 2.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 57 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 39 0.256 91.1 13.4% 22.9% 395 0.0% 0.0% 18.5% 30
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 58 0.099 84.6 5.7% 6.4% 377 33.3% 33.3% 8.8% 25
3 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 64 0.121 88.5 8.2% 9.5% 402 10.0% 10.0% 6.4% 34
4 Agustin Ramirez Agustin Ramirez 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.182 90.8 10.2% 13.9% 410 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 24
5 Eric Wagaman Eric Wagaman 43 ⚪ D · · 127 0.128 91.0 8.0% 6.6% 417 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 0
6 Connor Norby Connor Norby 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.138 88.3 9.4% 9.9% 396 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 24
7 Dane Myers Dane Myers 39 ⚪ D · · 159 0.091 90.7 8.6% 7.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 12
8 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.153 88.5 4.1% 5.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 24
9 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.070 86.8 2.7% 2.2% 378 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 38
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