⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
-6.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.380
Temp
39.9°F
Wind
12.9 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 70 🟡 B · · 8 0.245 91.4 11.7% 17.3% 391 20.0% 20.0% 26.5% 17
2 Riley Greene Riley Greene 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.235 89.9 13.7% 22.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 17.3% 32
3 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 61 0.147 90.0 10.0% 11.1% 389 10.0% 10.0% 12.7% 20
4 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.217 90.2 12.1% 15.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 21
5 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.179 85.7 8.2% 10.3% 376 10.0% 10.0% 11.2% 16
6 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 46 ⚪ D · · 100 0.186 90.3 9.8% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 0
7 Colt Keith Colt Keith 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.157 90.0 10.0% 10.7% 390 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 25
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.132 90.0 9.4% 9.0% 400 10.0% 10.0% 6.1% 29
9 Javier Baez Javier Baez 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 195 0.141 88.2 7.7% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 63 🔵 C+ · · 19 0.262 91.0 9.6% 19.6% 406 30.0% 30.0% 27.9% 22
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 56 🟠 C · · 46 0.287 92.5 10.9% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 17.2% 28
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.152 89.8 7.6% 9.6% 402 20.0% 20.0% 12.1% 18
4 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.131 89.3 6.5% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 20
5 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.104 89.2 9.0% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 12
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.153 90.9 7.0% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 14
7 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.143 86.2 5.9% 7.7% 399 10.0% 10.0% 6.0% 37
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 227 0.133 88.6 6.2% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 19
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 232 0.084 85.9 5.1% 4.1% 386 12.5% 12.5% 5.9% 14
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