HOU
@
—
COL
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.053
Temp
48.9°F
Wind
7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.183 | 90.9 | 10.7% | 14.7% | 396 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Cam Smith | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.122 | 87.9 | 7.8% | 9.6% | 395 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 13.7% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Jose Altuve | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.177 | 85.1 | 7.4% | 13.6% | 384 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 83 | 0.114 | 84.5 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 384 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Victor Caratini | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 103 | 0.145 | 88.7 | 8.2% | 11.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 107 | 0.204 | 87.4 | 7.4% | 14.0% | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Jeremy Pena | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 120 | 0.172 | 88.9 | 8.5% | 12.8% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 124 | 0.161 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 12.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Meyers | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.082 | 88.1 | 6.6% | 3.8% | 378 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 30 |
Cristian Javier
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 11 | 0.249 | 89.7 | 9.5% | 16.8% | 411 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 20.9% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.243 | 90.8 | 9.1% | 18.6% | 409 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.147 | 89.4 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 406 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.143 | 89.9 | 8.4% | 11.2% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Toglia | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.163 | 89.9 | 8.1% | 15.3% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Jordan Beck | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.158 | 87.4 | 7.9% | 12.2% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Farmer | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.137 | 87.0 | 6.3% | 10.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Ryan Ritter | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.096 | 85.2 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 354 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.5% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.080 | 90.1 | 3.7% | 2.3% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 5 |