AZ
@
—
NYM
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-6.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.388
Temp
33.5°F
Wind
12.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.252 | 93.5 | 11.9% | 19.3% | 408 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Juan Soto | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 52 | 0.262 | 93.8 | 11.7% | 25.1% | 400 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Mark Vientos | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 113 | 0.179 | 91.4 | 9.3% | 14.9% | 394 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.174 | 91.9 | 8.1% | 15.0% | 388 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 135 | 0.097 | 86.5 | 5.3% | 2.0% | 402 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Brett Baty | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.181 | 90.7 | 9.8% | 22.5% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 146 | 0.199 | 90.5 | 8.1% | 15.0% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Starling Marte | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 173 | 0.140 | 87.6 | 7.6% | 12.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.168 | 87.2 | 6.2% | 8.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 17 |