Today · 2026-09-03

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Logan Henderson FIP 3.36 HR/FB 18.9% → #1 Pete Crow-Armstrong, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Luis Castillo FIP 4.97 HR/FB 19.1% → #2 Yordan Alvarez, #8 Pro pick

📦 STACK Hunter Brown FIP 4.44 HR/FB 23.3% → #3 Munetaka Murakami, #4 Colson Montgomery, #5 Randal Grichuk, #6 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jack Perkins FIP 4.92 HR/FB 23.3% → #14 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-02. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.4% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	72	-7.8	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-30 OffEmilio Pagán Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance431 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●●○○○	1.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.69 IP1193.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Munetaka Murakami (L)	68	-3.7	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	16d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	4.7×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1251.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Yordan Alvarez (L)	67	-14.7	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-29 OffDaniel Duarte Exit Velo113.4 mph Angle23.0° Distance436 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○○○○	1.3×	1	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1191.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Colson Montgomery (L)	65	-3.7	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-31 OffBennett Sousa Exit Velo115.4 mph Angle19.0° Distance378 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1251.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Randal Grichuk (R)	64	·	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-08-21 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle19.0° Distance400 ft StadiumRate Field	○●●○○	0.3×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1251.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R)	63	-3.0	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1251.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	63	-9.5	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) SF @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.03 FIP3.98 IP1160.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	61	-1.0	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1191.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	61	-6.5	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.61 FIP4.87 IP1047.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R)	61	-11.0	●	Cal Quantrill (RHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.21 FIP4.10 IP1182.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (S)	60	-3.2	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.69 IP1193.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	60	-10.9	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) SF @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.98 FIP4.20 IP1270.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Shane McClanahan (LHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.02 IP1191.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	60	-3.9	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1252.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp64°F Wind3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note64°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (S)	60	-11.7	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1252.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+4 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp64°F Wind3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note64°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	60	-3.6	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1191.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-2 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	60	-6.4	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.61 FIP4.87 IP1047.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-5 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	58	-6.8	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.07 IP1208.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	58	-13.5	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP3.75 IP1221.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	58	-3.7	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) TOR @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP3.91 IP1190.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note90°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	58	-5.8	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.69 IP1193.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	57	-11.3	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) SF @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.98 FIP4.20 IP1270.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+12 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Quinn Mathews (LHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP4.09 IP1225.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	56	-4.7	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1252.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp64°F Wind3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note64°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	56	-14.1	●	Quinn Mathews (LHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP4.09 IP1225.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	56	+0.2	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1191.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	56	-14.1	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) MIA @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.30 FIP4.71 IP1161.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind9 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note93°F, wind 9 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	55	+4.2	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.1% Avg EV87.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1251.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	55	-11.9	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP3.75 IP1221.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note83°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	54	-0.8	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1191.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind5 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 7 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.6%

▼ -0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-02

27 HRs

22%

6 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#8 Juan Soto

28.0%

🔵

#21 Ty France

18.5%

🔵

#23 Jackson Chourio

25.1%

🟠

#25 Rafael Devers

27.0%

🟠

#30 Justin Foscue

30.4%

🟠

#44 Carter Jensen

18.6%

🟠

Missed

JJ Bleday Kyle Stowers Sean Murphy Ronald Acuña Jr. Alex Bregman +16 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Rafael Devers ×3 Sal Stewart ×3 Michael Harris II ×3 Carter Jensen ×2 Heriberto Hernández ×2

❄️ Cold

Ben Rice 0 of 7d CJ Abrams 0 of 7d Pete Alonso 0 of 7d Matt Olson 0 of 7d Hunter Goodman 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.9%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.7%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-03

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.