⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-16

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
261 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-16
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#1 Munetaka Murakami vs Jameson Taillon FIP 5.67 HR/FB 24.1% #3 Kyle Schwarber vs Bubba Chandler FIP 5.52 HR/FB 23.5% #12 Drew Romo vs Jameson Taillon FIP 5.67 HR/FB 24.1% #15 Colson Montgomery vs Jameson Taillon FIP 5.67 HR/FB 24.1%
📦 STACK Jameson Taillon FIP 5.67 HR/FB 24.1% → #1 Munetaka Murakami, #12 Drew Romo, #15 Colson Montgomery
📦 STACK Huascar Brazobán FIP 3.49 HR/FB 12.5% → #4 Aaron Judge, #8 Paul Goldschmidt, #9 Ben Rice
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 91 · Bubba Chandler (RHP)
PHI @ PIT · PNC Park
4:05p 🔥 A+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%26.7% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.8°F Wind11.5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Note73°F, wind 12 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
2 89 -1.8 Trevor McDonald (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%16.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
3
·Aaron Judge (R) 2
88 +6.5 Huascar Brazobán (RHP)
NYY @ NYM · Citi Field
7:15p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%23.8% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp76.2°F Wind12.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Note76°F, wind 12 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
4 87 +7.8 Jameson Taillon (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%22.0% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Munetaka Murakami — Home Run
OffJameson Taillon Exit Velo109.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance428 ft StadiumRate Field
5
·Luke Raley (L) 3
86 · Walker Buehler (RHP)
SD @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
7:15p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%23.9% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/90.60 FIP3.09 IP166.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp52.8°F Wind10.4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-4 Note53°F, wind 10 mph S (in) — modifier: -4
6
·Mickey Moniak (L) 4
85 · Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp75.3°F Wind11.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note75°F, wind 12 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0
7
·Ben Rice (L) 2
83 +10.2 Huascar Brazobán (RHP)
NYY @ NYM · Citi Field
7:15p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%20.6% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp76.2°F Wind12.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Note76°F, wind 12 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
8
·Matt Olson (L) 2
83 · Payton Tolle (LHP)
BOS @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%18.3% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.22 IP140.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp83.6°F Wind5.8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier1 Note84°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +1
9
·Jordan Walker (R) 4
82 · Noah Cameron (LHP)
KC @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🟢 A
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%18.3% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp76.6°F Wind5.8 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note77°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
10 80 +10.1 Jacob deGrom (RHP)
TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
7:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%17.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp86.5°F Wind18.4 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note86°F, wind 18 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2
Yordan Alvarez — Home Run
OffJacob deGrom Exit Velo97.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance362 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park
11
·JJ Bleday (L) 3
80 · Joey Cantillo (LHP)
CIN @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.1°F Wind13.8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note66°F, wind 14 mph S (in) — modifier: -3
12 80 +7.2 Jameson Taillon (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Colson Montgomery — Home Run
OffJameson Taillon Exit Velo112.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance442 ft StadiumRate Field
13
·James Wood (L) 3
80 · Chris Bassitt (RHP)
BAL @ WSH · Nationals Park
4:05p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%26.9% Avg EV96.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp81.7°F Wind12.7 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note82°F, wind 13 mph SW (in) — modifier: -2
14
·Nick Kurtz (L) 3
79 -6.3 Trevor McDonald (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%17.5% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
15 79 · Payton Tolle (LHP)
BOS @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%17.5% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.22 IP140.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp83.6°F Wind5.8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier1 Note84°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +1
Drake Baldwin — Home Run
OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance421 ft StadiumTruist Park
16
·Ian Happ (S) 2
78 · Davis Martin (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%18.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB15.9% HR/91.02 FIP4.46 IP123.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
17 78 +9.5 Jameson Taillon (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Miguel Vargas — Home Run
OffJameson Taillon Exit Velo108.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance421 ft StadiumRate Field
18 76 · Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV82.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
COL Bullpen
HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp75.3°F Wind11.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note75°F, wind 12 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0
19 76 · Huascar Brazobán (RHP)
NYY @ NYM · Citi Field
7:15p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%19.6% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp76.2°F Wind12.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Note76°F, wind 12 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
20 76 · Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp75.3°F Wind11.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note75°F, wind 12 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0
21
·Max Muncy (L) 6
74 -2.3 Trevor McDonald (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
22
·Mike Trout (R)
73 -3.0 Justin Wrobleski (LHP)
LAD @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%22.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.57 FIP2.87 IP110.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp69.4°F Wind8.1 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note69°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1
23
·Drew Romo (S) 4
72 · Jameson Taillon (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV84.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
24 72 -0.3 Luis Severino (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.79 FIP3.87 IP136.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Casey Schmitt — Home Run
OffLuis Severino Exit Velo96.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance355 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
25
·Max Muncy (L) 6
71 -3.2 José Soriano (RHP)
LAD @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp69.4°F Wind8.1 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note69°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1
26 70 · Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp75.3°F Wind11.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note75°F, wind 12 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0
27
Bryce Harper (L) 3
70 · Bubba Chandler (RHP)
PHI @ PIT · PNC Park
4:05p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.8°F Wind11.5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Note73°F, wind 12 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
Bryce Harper — Home Run
OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo111.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance457 ft StadiumPNC Park
28
Brent Rooker (R) 2
68 -4.1 Trevor McDonald (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Brent Rooker — Home Run
OffTrevor McDonald Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle32.0° Distance407 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
29 68 · Kyle Leahy (RHP)
KC @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
STL Bullpen
HR/FB14.9% HR/90.95 FIP4.30 IP152.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp76.6°F Wind5.8 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note77°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
30
·Andy Pages (R) 3
67 +1.9 José Soriano (RHP)
LAD @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp69.4°F Wind8.1 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note69°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

256 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.78

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.