MIA
@
4:10p
TB
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
Sandy Alcantara
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.223 | 91.6 | 10.4% | 29.6% | 413 | 25.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.196 | 89.7 | 9.8% | 22.2% | 396 | 15.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.135 | 89.9 | 6.6% | 21.1% | 367 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.161 | 86.2 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 240 | 0.044 | 83.9 | · | 10.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 244 | 0.078 | 86.3 | 1.8% | 12.0% | 379 | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Richie Palacios | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 245 | 0.064 | 85.8 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Walls | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.054 | 82.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.023 | 85.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 14 |
Nick Martinez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.162 | 88.4 | 6.3% | 7.1% | 398 | 7.1% | 25.0% | 11.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Liam Hicks ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.228 | 87.6 | 6.3% | 26.7% | 379 | 22.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Owen Caissie | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.141 | 91.1 | 11.3% | 17.6% | 391 | 4.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11 |
| 4 |
|
Connor Norby | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 121 | 0.137 | 87.8 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 396 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Otto Lopez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.158 | 90.1 | 9.0% | 13.6% | 396 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 46 |
| 6 |
|
Joe Mack | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 137 | 0.146 | 86.7 | 5.3% | 16.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.088 | 87.9 | 4.3% | 8.0% | 374 | 10.7% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.089 | 90.5 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 251 | 0.046 | 87.8 | 1.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 20 |