SF
@
9:40p
ATH
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.150
Trevor McDonald
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 89 | 🟢 A | +305 | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.283 | 92.8 | 16.4% | 30.0% | 415 | 22.5% | 25.0% | 34.4% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 79 | 🟡 B | +290 | · | 14 | 0.202 | 95.0 | 17.5% | 38.9% | 411 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 30.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 74 | 🟡 B | +400 | · | 21 | 0.163 | 92.8 | 19.4% | 27.5% | 407 | 21.3% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Brent Rooker | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.170 | 89.2 | 14.9% | 26.3% | 380 | 13.3% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.188 | 90.7 | 13.2% | 15.6% | 393 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.213 | 91.1 | 10.0% | 21.1% | 396 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.106 | 84.3 | 2.1% | 14.3% | 368 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 139 | 0.100 | 90.5 | 7.1% | 22.2% | 378 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 21 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 232 | 0.086 | 85.4 | 0.9% | 6.2% | 395 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 29 |
Luis Severino
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 72 | 🟡 B | +475 | · | 24 | 0.215 | 89.9 | 14.4% | 17.2% | 396 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 29.6% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 62 | 0.165 | 92.0 | 13.4% | 13.6% | 399 | 10.5% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 53 | 🟠 C | +330 | · | 67 | 0.148 | 89.8 | 7.8% | 15.4% | 396 | 10.3% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Willy Adames | 45 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 108 | 0.123 | 88.9 | 8.2% | 13.0% | 375 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.082 | 86.9 | 5.0% | 9.5% | 349 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Arraez | 30 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 195 | 0.070 | 86.9 | · | 3.1% | 350 | 2.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 45 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 196 | 0.112 | 88.3 | 2.0% | 13.0% | 363 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 51 |
| 8 |
|
Patrick Bailey ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 199 | 0.037 | 89.8 | 4.6% | 0.0% | 407 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 8 |
| 9 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.100 | 82.8 | 3.5% | 28.6% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 22 |