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TEX
@
7:10p
HOU
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.188
Temp
86.5°F
Wind
18.4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Jacob deGrom
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 80 | 🟢 A | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.321 | 94.3 | 17.4% | 23.5% | 396 | 31.0% | 8.3% | 29.4% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 33 | 0.245 | 90.9 | 12.2% | 33.3% | 392 | 20.9% | 25.0% | 30.7% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Zach Cole | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.184 | 92.1 | 27.8% | 15.6% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.8% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Zach Dezenzo | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.184 | 83.5 | 16.7% | 15.6% | 359 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews | 46 | ⚪ D | +275 | · | 106 | 0.177 | 88.1 | 8.6% | 18.2% | 398 | 11.8% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 190 | 0.111 | 87.3 | 4.2% | 15.4% | 369 | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 193 | 0.120 | 86.2 | 6.3% | 15.8% | 378 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.171 | 87.0 | 3.1% | 20.0% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 234 | · | 91.2 | 5.6% | 30.0% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.6% | 29 |
Kai-Wei Teng
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.186 | 91.5 | 6.3% | 20.0% | 368 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 11.6% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.164 | 89.7 | 9.5% | 25.9% | 395 | 12.8% | 25.0% | 12.2% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Evan Carter | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.155 | 88.4 | 8.8% | 13.5% | 371 | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.144 | 91.7 | 9.3% | 16.0% | 396 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Joc Pederson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.123 | 92.8 | 6.8% | 13.8% | 385 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Jung | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.185 | 90.2 | 5.4% | 17.4% | 378 | 12.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Foscue | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.140 | 92.8 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 358 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Danny Jansen | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.138 | 87.7 | 5.0% | 22.2% | 393 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 241 | 0.027 | 87.8 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 20 |