⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-15

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
261 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-15
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#1 Shea Langeliers vs Tyler Mahle FIP 5.03 HR/FB 60.0% #2 Mickey Moniak vs Merrill Kelly FIP 6.64 HR/FB 38.9% #3 Ryan Waldschmidt vs Kyle Freeland FIP 5.47 HR/FB 28.6%
📦 STACK Tyler Mahle FIP 5.03 HR/FB 60.0% → #1 Shea Langeliers, #15 Max Muncy
📦 STACK Clay Holmes FIP 3.44 HR/FB 7.1% → #5 Aaron Judge, #10 Ben Rice
📦 STACK Edward Cabrera FIP 4.25 HR/FB 25.0% → #6 Munetaka Murakami, #13 Drew Romo
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 92 -5.0 Tyler Mahle (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🔥 A+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%16.9% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
2
·Mickey Moniak (L) 5
92 -5.0 Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🔥 A+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note79°F, wind 8 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
3
·Matt Olson (L) 3
92 · Connelly Early (LHP)
BOS @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🔥 A+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%18.4% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.22 IP140.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Note73°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: +0
4
·Aaron Judge (R) 3
88 +6.5 Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYY @ NYM · Citi Field
7:15p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%24.5% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind10 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 10 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
5 85 +6.6 Edward Cabrera (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%22.7% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
6
·Luke Raley (L) 2
85 +4.7 Randy Vásquez (RHP)
SD @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%24.3% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/90.60 FIP3.09 IP166.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp49.8°F Wind18.4 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note50°F, wind 18 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
7
·JJ Bleday (L) 4
85 -7.2 Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CIN @ CLE · Progressive Field
7:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%16.3% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.8°F Wind6.9 mph N Characterout HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 7 mph N (out) — modifier: +0
8 84 -2.2 Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%17.8% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp87.6°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Note88°F, wind 7 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +2
9 83 · Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)
PHI @ PIT · PNC Park
6:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%24.8% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.7°F Wind5.8 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Kyle Schwarber — Home Run
OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle21.0° Distance408 ft StadiumPNC Park
10 81 +3.3 Kyle Freeland (LHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟢 A
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV83.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
COL Bullpen
HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note79°F, wind 8 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
11
·Ian Happ (S) 3
81 +9.5 Sean Burke (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟢 A
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%18.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB15.9% HR/91.02 FIP4.46 IP123.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
12
Ben Rice (L) 3
79 +9.8 Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYY @ NYM · Citi Field
7:15p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%20.4% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind10 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 10 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
Ben Rice — Home Run
OffClay Holmes Exit Velo106.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance395 ft StadiumCiti Field
13 79 · Connelly Early (LHP)
BOS @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.22 IP140.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Note73°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: +0
Drake Baldwin — Home Run
OffConnelly Early Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle32.0° Distance407 ft StadiumTruist Park
14
Max Muncy (L) 6
78 -3.2 Tyler Mahle (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%19.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Max Muncy — Home Run
OffJack Kochanowicz Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance383 ft StadiumAngel Stadium
15 78 +4.2 Michael Wacha (RHP)
KC @ STL · Busch Stadium
8:15p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%18.0% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp80.1°F Wind13.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Note80°F, wind 14 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +4
Jordan Walker — Home Run
OffMichael Wacha Exit Velo104.5 mph Angle30.0° Distance409 ft StadiumBusch Stadium
16
·James Wood (L) 2
78 · Shane Baz (RHP)
BAL @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%26.7% Avg EV96.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.0°F Wind15.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note68°F, wind 15 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1
17
·Mike Trout (R)
76 -2.9 Blake Snell (LHP)
LAD @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%22.5% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.57 FIP2.87 IP110.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.1°F Wind5.0 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note66°F, wind 5 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
18
·Brent Rooker (R) 2
76 -6.3 Tyler Mahle (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
19 76 +2.3 Edward Cabrera (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Colson Montgomery — Home Run
OffEdward Cabrera Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle33.0° Distance381 ft StadiumRate Field
20 75 -11.0 Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note79°F, wind 8 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
Hunter Goodman — Home Run
OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo111.4 mph Angle19.0° Distance387 ft StadiumCoors Field
21
Max Muncy (L) 6
73 -4.8 Jack Kochanowicz (RHP)
LAD @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%19.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.1°F Wind5.0 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note66°F, wind 5 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
Max Muncy — Home Run
OffJack Kochanowicz Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance383 ft StadiumAngel Stadium
22
·Jake McCarthy (L) 4
73 +4.9 Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
3
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%5.9% Avg EV84.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.93 FIP3.59 IP116.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note79°F, wind 8 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
23 72 +7.6 Edward Cabrera (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Miguel Vargas — Home Run
OffEdward Cabrera Exit Velo101.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance348 ft StadiumRate Field
24 71 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CIN @ CLE · Progressive Field
7:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.8°F Wind6.9 mph N Characterout HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 7 mph N (out) — modifier: +0
25 70 -4.8 Kyle Freeland (LHP)
AZ @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note79°F, wind 8 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
26
Nick Kurtz (L) 4
70 -11.7 Tyler Mahle (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%16.7% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Nick Kurtz — Home Run
OffTyler Mahle Exit Velo108.2 mph Angle23.0° Distance417 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
27 70 -0.2 Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp87.6°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Note88°F, wind 7 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +2
28
·Pete Alonso (R) 2
70 · Zack Littell (RHP)
BAL @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.59 IP152.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.0°F Wind15.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note68°F, wind 15 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1
29
·Drew Romo (S) 3
69 · Edward Cabrera (RHP)
CHC @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%18.2% Avg EV83.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
30
·Casey Schmitt (R) 3
69 -3.8 Aaron Civale (RHP)
SF @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.79 FIP3.87 IP136.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

256 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.79

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.