BAL
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.034
Temp
68.0°F
Wind
15.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.281 | 96.1 | 26.7% | 40.9% | 406 | 30.8% | 22.2% | 22.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 54 | 0.240 | 89.5 | 11.7% | 33.3% | 389 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Curtis Mead | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 78 | 0.216 | 89.7 | 9.9% | 28.6% | 394 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 19.0% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Brady House ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 82 | 0.160 | 88.8 | 10.7% | 29.4% | 395 | 16.7% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.170 | 87.5 | 7.2% | 15.6% | 409 | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 36 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 131 | 0.165 | 92.5 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 388 | 4.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 24 | |
| 7 |
|
Drew Millas | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 182 | 0.090 | 82.1 | 4.3% | 12.5% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Young | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 231 | 0.095 | 87.8 | 4.1% | 12.5% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 9 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 258 | 0.051 | 81.9 | 1.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 12 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.206 | 94.2 | 12.6% | 24.0% | 394 | 16.3% | 30.8% | 24.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 33 | 0.262 | 88.7 | 9.1% | 21.4% | 396 | 20.0% | 100.0% | 25.8% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 69 | 0.202 | 93.0 | 10.3% | 22.2% | 410 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.196 | 89.6 | 8.7% | 18.8% | 388 | 19.5% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 6.8% | 7.7% | 419 | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 161 | 0.162 | 87.9 | 6.9% | 25.0% | 396 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.126 | 87.4 | 5.2% | 14.3% | 406 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.128 | 87.2 | 5.1% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Ward | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 222 | 0.112 | 88.5 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 394 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 22 |