SD
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.728
Temp
49.8°F
Wind
18.4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 85 | 🟢 A | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.321 | 93.9 | 24.3% | 42.9% | 382 | 22.2% | 30.8% | 29.9% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 73 | 0.167 | 89.7 | 8.3% | 11.8% | 416 | 18.5% | 30.8% | 18.4% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 50 | 🟠 C | +575 | ❄ COLD | 90 | 0.209 | 93.1 | 15.7% | 22.7% | 402 | 6.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.156 | 87.5 | 12.3% | 14.6% | 390 | 17.1% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.153 | 91.2 | 5.8% | 17.6% | 375 | 7.1% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 33 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.147 | 88.3 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 376 | 12.2% | 23.1% | 12.6% | 42 | |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 193 | 0.120 | 88.0 | 6.6% | 20.8% | 402 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 28 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.115 | 88.2 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 395 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 5 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 260 | 0.042 | 86.1 | 1.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 14 |
Emerson Hancock
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 55 | 🟠 C | +575 | · | 70 | 0.229 | 88.6 | 9.8% | 33.3% | 406 | 10.8% | 15.4% | 31.0% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.165 | 89.1 | 13.0% | 25.0% | 406 | 3.8% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 42 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.127 | 89.9 | 9.5% | 14.3% | 408 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 42 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.150 | 90.2 | 6.2% | 23.8% | 399 | 13.2% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 41 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 142 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 4.4% | 12.5% | 400 | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 39 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.157 | 87.8 | 7.3% | 29.2% | 392 | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 177 | 0.129 | 87.7 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 397 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 22 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 229 | 0.044 | 92.2 | 11.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 233 | 0.052 | 87.4 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 399 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 6 |