⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SD
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.728
Temp
49.8°F
Wind
18.4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 85 🟢 A +500 🌤️ WARM 6 0.321 93.9 24.3% 42.9% 382 22.2% 30.8% 29.9% 19
2 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 73 0.167 89.7 8.3% 11.8% 416 18.5% 30.8% 18.4% 38
3 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 50 🟠 C +575 ❄ COLD 90 0.209 93.1 15.7% 22.7% 402 6.5% 8.3% 13.0% 19
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.156 87.5 12.3% 14.6% 390 17.1% 0.0% 8.1% 20
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 39 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 155 0.153 91.2 5.8% 17.6% 375 7.1% 15.4% 13.6% 33
6 J.P. Crawford 34 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 185 0.147 88.3 7.5% 25.0% 376 12.2% 23.1% 12.6% 42
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 32 ⚪ D +500 · 193 0.120 88.0 6.6% 20.8% 402 11.5% 7.7% 7.6% 44
8 Cole Young Cole Young 28 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 206 0.115 88.2 7.7% 7.7% 395 7.1% 0.0% 5.8% 31
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 5 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 260 0.042 86.1 1.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 14
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 55 🟠 C +575 · 70 0.229 88.6 9.8% 33.3% 406 10.8% 15.4% 31.0% 26
2 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 47 ⚪ D · · 105 0.165 89.1 13.0% 25.0% 406 3.8% 7.7% 13.1% 18
3 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 42 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 130 0.127 89.9 9.5% 14.3% 408 10.8% 8.3% 9.0% 30
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 42 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 132 0.150 90.2 6.2% 23.8% 399 13.2% 15.4% 11.6% 36
5 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 41 ⚪ D +750 · 142 0.193 89.7 4.4% 12.5% 400 12.0% 15.4% 12.1% 37
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 39 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 156 0.157 87.8 7.3% 29.2% 392 15.8% 15.4% 14.8% 32
7 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 35 ⚪ D +700 · 177 0.129 87.7 8.3% 14.3% 397 3.7% 8.3% 7.8% 22
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 22 ⚪ D +500 ❄ COLD 229 0.044 92.2 11.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 31
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 233 0.052 87.4 5.4% 7.7% 399 2.7% 0.0% 10.2% 6
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