PHI
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.72×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.720
Temp
66.7°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.378 | 92.8 | 24.8% | 48.1% | 404 | 30.8% | 41.7% | 29.6% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.266 | 88.7 | 14.0% | 31.8% | 407 | 20.5% | 25.0% | 24.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Bryson Stott | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.147 | 89.7 | 6.5% | 7.1% | 399 | 8.6% | 27.3% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Justin Crawford | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 194 | 0.140 | 87.8 | 2.1% | 13.3% | 382 | 7.4% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.150 | 90.1 | 5.9% | 14.8% | 398 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.111 | 89.7 | 4.4% | 11.5% | 383 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Garrett Stubbs | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.112 | 90.8 | · | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Alec Bohm | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 1.6% | 6.7% | 365 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 256 | 0.092 | 86.5 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 442 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 19 |
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.220 | 95.8 | 18.8% | 31.8% | 410 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 48 | 0.280 | 88.1 | 11.8% | 32.0% | 402 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 126 | 0.175 | 90.6 | 7.3% | 17.9% | 392 | 16.0% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.139 | 87.4 | 9.4% | 21.4% | 401 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.167 | 89.7 | 8.3% | 11.8% | 416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 3 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.114 | 89.0 | 8.0% | 8.7% | 400 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.150 | 85.8 | 2.9% | 15.4% | 385 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.138 | 90.9 | 7.3% | 12.5% | 415 | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Triolo | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.049 | 88.0 | 3.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 15 |