KC
@
8:15p
STL
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.302
Temp
80.1°F
Wind
13.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Michael Wacha
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 78 | 🟡 B | +575 | · | 15 | 0.281 | 94.9 | 18.0% | 32.1% | 405 | 20.7% | 23.1% | 28.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | +625 | · | 80 | 0.175 | 91.0 | 11.7% | 17.9% | 408 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 46 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.135 | 88.6 | 10.1% | 17.9% | 403 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 39 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 7.6% | 19.4% | 392 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.158 | 86.2 | 9.9% | 27.8% | 387 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Iván Herrera | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.145 | 89.2 | 6.3% | 17.6% | 400 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Pedro Pagés ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 205 | 0.132 | 85.7 | 5.8% | 18.8% | 397 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 26 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 221 | 0.098 | 86.4 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 373 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 251 | 0.077 | 87.3 | 1.3% | 12.5% | 406 | 2.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 19 |
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | · | 46 | 0.200 | 93.2 | 13.4% | 19.4% | 404 | 15.0% | 41.7% | 20.6% | 42 | |
| 2 |
|
Michael Massey | 55 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 67 | 0.210 | 90.9 | 11.7% | 11.5% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 53 | 🟠 C | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.166 | 93.5 | 16.3% | 17.6% | 404 | 8.6% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Carter Jensen | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 102 | 0.177 | 90.8 | 11.1% | 23.1% | 387 | 16.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Salvador Perez | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.142 | 88.2 | 9.4% | 20.0% | 394 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 44 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 121 | 0.150 | 89.2 | 9.5% | 16.1% | 398 | 13.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Collins | 40 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.122 | 89.2 | 8.6% | 13.3% | 377 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 198 | 0.144 | 90.4 | 5.8% | 4.2% | 398 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 46 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.129 | 86.9 | 4.9% | 20.0% | 390 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 25 |