⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
TOR
@ 6:45p
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.023
Temp
66.0°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.219 93.0 16.0% 33.3% 411 15.4% 33.3% 26.7% 34
2 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 46 ⚪ D · · 106 0.207 89.3 11.6% 33.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 17
3 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.153 86.3 6.1% 16.7% 387 10.3% 9.1% 8.6% 36
4 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 195 0.157 90.9 6.8% 27.3% 400 14.3% 9.1% 10.3% 27
5 George Springer George Springer 31 ⚪ D · · 199 0.117 87.6 8.1% 25.0% 389 5.3% 0.0% 8.2% 29
6 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 211 0.163 85.8 4.1% 16.7% 382 3.6% 9.1% 12.0% 31
7 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.112 86.6 1.3% 3.5% 364 4.8% 8.3% 5.1% 40
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 232 0.084 90.4 8.8% 6.7% 434 4.8% 0.0% 6.0% 38
9 Yohendrick Piñango 10 ⚪ D · · 257 · 90.4 3.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 52 0.241 90.9 13.9% 30.8% 405 17.9% 25.0% 24.3% 34
2 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 87 0.183 91.4 15.7% 22.2% 404 14.3% 8.3% 9.7% 22
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 45 ⚪ D · · 112 0.159 90.7 13.8% 12.0% 409 7.1% 0.0% 7.0% 31
4 Hao-Yu Lee 43 ⚪ D · · 124 0.146 90.3 15.6% 0.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 16
5 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.150 87.5 4.8% 6.2% 358 5.9% 9.1% 5.8% 31
6 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.140 88.3 10.5% 5.1% 407 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 34
7 Gage Workman Gage Workman 17 ⚪ D · · 242 · · · 0.0% · 100.0% 100.0% 10.5% 9
8 Colt Keith Colt Keith 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 249 0.066 90.9 5.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 20
9 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 255 0.091 84.1 2.0% 10.0% 399 4.3% 0.0% 5.7% 18
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.80

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.