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TEX
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
1.188
Temp
87.6°F
Wind
7 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Jack Leiter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 84 | 🟢 A | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.321 | 94.2 | 17.8% | 21.9% | 396 | 32.1% | 9.1% | 27.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 70 | 🟡 B | +500 | · | 27 | 0.245 | 90.9 | 12.3% | 36.0% | 392 | 21.4% | 27.3% | 35.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Zach Cole | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | · | 47 | 0.184 | 90.9 | 18.8% | 15.6% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.4% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Zach Dezenzo | 58 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 61 | 0.184 | 83.5 | 18.2% | 15.6% | 359 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews | 51 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 85 | 0.177 | 88.5 | 9.0% | 18.2% | 398 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Cam Smith | 47 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 104 | 0.121 | 88.4 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 406 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.171 | 87.4 | 3.2% | 20.0% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 36 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.111 | 87.5 | 3.4% | 12.0% | 374 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 27 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 218 | · | 91.0 | 6.3% | 37.5% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.1% | 25 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.174 | 91.1 | 15.7% | 24.1% | 394 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 56 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.186 | 91.4 | 6.3% | 21.4% | 368 | 33.3% | 100.0% | 14.6% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 94 | 0.164 | 89.7 | 9.6% | 25.9% | 395 | 13.2% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Evan Carter | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 116 | 0.155 | 88.3 | 8.1% | 14.7% | 371 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.144 | 91.8 | 9.5% | 16.0% | 396 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Joc Pederson | 44 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.123 | 92.8 | 6.8% | 13.8% | 385 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Jung | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.185 | 90.4 | 5.6% | 18.2% | 378 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Danny Jansen | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.138 | 87.7 | 5.0% | 22.2% | 393 | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 237 | 0.022 | 87.9 | 5.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 7 |